Welcome to the home of all Sharp Football Analysis content heading into Super Bowl 60, featuring the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks.

This page will be updated daily with articles offering a deep dive across key positional matchups, injury news, player prop analysis, and more.

The NFC champion Seattle Seahawks will play the AFC champion New England Patriots in the 2026 Super Bowl on Sunday, Feb. 8, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California.

Opening kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET.

Super Bowl 60 Opening & Current Betting Lines:

• The Seahawks opened as 3.5-point favorites in Super Bowl 60 with a 46.5-point total.
• The Seahawks are currently 4.5-point favorites in Super Bowl 60 with a 45.5-point total.

Get the best Super Bowl odds at Novig & for a limited time get a $100 match on your first purchase!

Super Bowl 60, Predictions & Betting Tips:

Super Bowl Prop Bet Coverage:

Latest Super Bowl 60 MVP Odds:

Latest Super Bowl 60 Injury Reports:

New England Patriots Super Bowl 60 Injury Report

Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl 60 Injury Report

Super Bowl 60 is here, with the Patriots and Seahawks competing for the biggest prize in football.

In this article, we will examine why you should bet the under on the New England Patriots' team total for Super Bowl 60, and why you should expect some early offense for the Seahawks.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Patriots vs. Seahawks Super Bowl 60 Prediction: New England Patriots Under 20.5 Points (-125)

Why Bet Patriots Under 20.5 Points:

The Patriots had one of the top offenses in the NFL this season.

According to Sumer Sports, New England is tied for first in expected points added (EPA) per play (0.13), first in EPA per pass (0.29), tied for 17th in EPA per rush (-0.03), and fourth in success rate (46.93%).

They’re also stellar in traditional metrics.

Per TruMedia, New England is tied for third in yards per play (5.9), fifth in rushing yards per game (129.2), sixth in passing yards per game (235.1), tied for first in net yards per pass attempt (8.1), and tied for eighth in scoring offense (25.0 points per game).

The Patriots beat whoever was put in front of them.

However, their fourth-place schedule made for a fairly soft runout.

Understandably, they weren’t as fearsome against the top defenses.

New England played only five games against top-10 defenses in EPA.

Specifically, they faced the Saints in Week 6 (9th in EPA allowed per play), the Browns in Week 8 (5th in EPA allowed per play), the Chargers in the Wild Card Round (tied for 6th in EPA allowed per play), the Texans in the Divisional Round (1st in EPA allowed per play), and the Broncos in the Conference Championship Round (tied for 6th in EPA allowed per play).

The Patriots scored 25 points against the Saints, 32 against the Browns, 16 against the Chargers, 28 against the Texans, and 10 against the Broncos, averaging 22 points per game and a median of 25.

They held their own against quality defenses, but a pick-six inflated the 28 points against the Texans, and their other two efforts north of 20.5 points were much earlier in the season.

In three playoff games against top-10 defenses in EPA allowed per play, New England went under their Super Bowl 60 team total of 20.5 points twice, and they have another challenging matchup against the Seahawks.

Seattle is second in EPA allowed per play (-0.12), eighth in EPA allowed per pass (-0.10), first in EPA allowed per rush (-0.15), and third in success rate allowed (39.25%).

They are also tied for third in yards allowed per play (4.7), first in yards allowed per rush (3.8), third in net yards allowed per pass (5.7), and first in points allowed per game (17.11).

They played six games against teams in the top 10 in EPA, all against the Rams (tied for 1st in EPA per play) and the 49ers (tied for 6th in EPA per play).

They held San Francisco to 17, 3, and 6 points in their three meetings, and Seattle yielded 21, 37, and 27 points to Los Angeles.

The familiarity of playing a division opponent creates an unusual dynamic.

Nevertheless, the Seahawks stuffed the 49ers in a locker, and the Rams were first in yards per play (6.1) and scoring offense (29.3 points per game) this season.

They’re a different animal than any other offense.

The Patriots’ offense isn’t as potent as LA’s, and their postseason form leaves something to be desired.

Moreover, New England’s last three games against top-10 defenses were after rookie left tackle Will Campbell returned from injured reserve.

According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Campbell played 452 pass-blocking snaps in 12 games before landing on IR.

He tallied a 76.1 PFF pass-blocking grade, allowing 5 sacks, 4 quarterback hits, 16 hurries, and 25 pressures in those 452 pass-blocking snaps.

The rookie tackle hasn’t matched that production since returning.

In four games and 127 pass-blocking snaps since returning from IR, Campbell has garnered a 45.5 PFF pass-blocking grade while coughing up 3 sacks, 2 quarterback hits, 7 hurries, and 12 pressures.

As a result, Drake Maye has been under siege, absorbing precisely 5 sacks in each playoff contest.

The Patriots have averaged only 18 points per game with a median of 16 in three games against top-10 defenses in EPA allowed per play since Campbell returned.

Additionally, the bossman, Warren Sharp, shared some eye-catching defensive tendencies deployed against Maye and the Patriots since the Bills rematch in Week 15.

The Seahawks aren’t a get-right matchup for New England’s offense, and Seattle’s elite defense should hold the Patriots under 20.5 points in Super Bowl 60.

Patriots vs. Seahawks Super Bowl 60 Prediction: Over 7.5 Points in the First Quarter (-102)

Why Bet Over 7.5 Points in the First Quarter:

Frankly, I went into analyzing the first quarter total expecting to prefer the under.

The Chiefs and Eagles combined for only 7 points in the first quarter of Super Bowl 59, and the Chiefs and 49ers produced 0 points in the first quarter of Super Bowl 58.

However, since Super Bowl 50, six of 10 games have produced over 7.5 points in the first quarter.

Those games averaged 7.3 points in the first quarter, with a median of 10.

Looking at New England’s and Seattle’s scoring in the first quarter against quality opponents tilts the scale toward taking the over.

In the Patriots’ five games against top-10 defenses in EPA allowed per play, the first quarters yielded 20, 10, 0, 10, and 7 points, averaging 9.4 points with a median of 10.

Still, taking the over on 7.5 points in the first quarter goes against my expectations that the Patriots will score fewer than 20.5 points in the game, creating a negative correlation if New England does the heavy lifting in the first quarter.

Fortunately, the Seahawks have the more compelling case for getting the first quarter over 7.5 points, and they can do the bulk or all of the requisite scoring to make that a successful wager.

In Seattle’s six games against top-10 offenses in EPA per play this season, the first quarter has featured 7, 17, 10, 7, 17, and 13 points, averaging 11.8 points with a median of 11.5.

Four of those six games went over 7.5 points in the first quarter.

Seattle’s offense doesn’t have an easy assignment, either.

The Patriots are 11th in EPA allowed per play (-0.05) this year.

The Seahawks played six games against top-10 defenses in EPA allowed per play, facing the Jaguars in Week 6, the Texans in Week 7, the Rams in Week 11, the Vikings in Week 13, the Rams in Week 16, and the Rams in the Conference Championship Round.

Those games had 6, 14, 17, 0, 10, and 13 points in the first quarter, averaging 10 points with a median of 11.5.

Thus, Seattle’s six games against top-10 defenses in EPA allowed per play went over 7.5 points in the first quarter four times.

The Seahawks and Patriots can clear the low bar of exceeding 7.5 points in the first quarter.

Given my position on New England under 20.5 points in the game, Seattle will ideally do most of the scoring to send the first quarter over 7.5 points.

Explore More Super Bowl 60 Predictions & Analysis:

Super Bowl 60 is just days away, when we will find out if the Seattle Seahawks or the New England Patriots will be crowned champions.

Below are three props bets for the big game, including two Seahawks players and one from the Patriots.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Super Bowl 60 Over/Under Prediction: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Under 94.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

While Smith-Njigba has been phenomenal this season, catching 119 passes for 1,793 yards and 10 touchdowns, he’ll be up against a Patriots secondary, led by Christian Gonzalez, that could prove to give him problems.

To play devil’s advocate against my own prop bet here, yes, Smith-Njigba has a target share of 32.6% across the regular season and playoffs without Zach Charbonnet and Tory Horton on the field.

He could very well receive so many targets that volume wins out.

Smith-Njigba has finished with 95 yards or fewer in seven of 19 games, but again, he’ll have to face Gonzalez.

Across 597 coverage snaps, Gonzalez has allowed only 45 receptions on 101 targets (44.6%) for 482 yards and 1 touchdown.

The most yards he’s allowed in a single game was 67 against the Houston Texans.

Smith-Njigba mostly plays on the outside, splitting time between both sides.

Gonzalez mostly plays the right cornerback spot, but he can also play the left side, too.

Where Smith-Njigba could succeed is in the slot, where Gonzalez doesn’t play.

That said, the Patriots allow just 116.2 receiving yards per game to wide receivers.

They haven’t allowed a receiver to go for 96 yards or more since Week 10, when Emeka Egbuka went for 115 yards.

The most any receiver has had against the Patriots since then was Zay Flowers of the Baltimore Ravens with 84 yards in Week 16.

So, there are avenues for Smith-Njigba to top this number, but overall, against Gonzalez and in what I believe will be a lower-scoring game than the total shows, Smith-Njigba will finish under this line.

Best Super Bowl 60 Over/Under Prediction: Austin Hooper Over 1.5 Receptions (+194)

Scanning over the props, Hooper going over 1.5 receptions at +194 has some nice value.

He’s caught 2 passes or more in seven games this season, including in two of his last six games.

This postseason, Hooper hasn’t been utilized much, running a route on just 27.5% of Drake Maye’s dropbacks and boasting a mere 5.5% target share.

He has caught 1 of 4 targets.

However, looking out a bit further to the Patriots’ target share against Cover 3 and Cover 6 — the two coverages the Seahawks most often play — Hooper’s target share across the regular season and playoffs is up to 7.5%, catching 13 of 18 passes and running a route on 34.6% of Maye’s dropbacks.

Seattle's defense has been excellent this season, but one spot they’ve been vulnerable is against tight ends.

They’re allowing 6 receptions for 64 yards per game to the position.

The 6 receptions allowed are the sixth-most in the NFL.

Those receptions allowed could go to Patriots starting tight end Hunter Henry, but he’s only drawn a 13.7% target share during the playoffs.

So, Hooper hasn’t been used much this season, but he’s used slightly more against the coverages the Seahawks most often play.

Additionally, the Seahawks have struggled to defend tight ends this season.

At +194 and in the Super Bowl, where teams might try to draw up unique plays to get an edge, 2 receptions are possible for Hooper.

Best Super Bowl 60 Over/Under Prediction: George Holani Under 10.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

Without Zach Charbonnet on the field, Kenneth Walker has handled 85.7% of the Seahawks’ running back carries, rushing 258 times for 1,211 yards.

As for Holani, he’s run 25 times for 77 yards (3.1 yards per carry) across 12 games.

Of those rushes, 20% of them have been for 0 or negative yards.

In the NFC Championship Game, as the Seahawks were putting up 31 points, Holani ran just 3 times for 4 yards.

He’s reached 10 rushing yards just two times this season.

Also, he’ll face a Patriots defense that’s surrendering 71.4 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, which is the second-fewest in the league.

The Patriots have allowed 55 total rushing yards or fewer to the position in each of their last four games.

Holani was much more effective in the NFC Championship as a receiver, catching 3 passes on 4 targets for 27 yards.

The Patriots have shown they have a fantastic run defense with Milton Williams in the lineup.

I expect the majority of the carries to go to Walker, with Holani taking a backseat and falling under 10 rushing yards.

More Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

Super Bowl prop bets are a staple of big game betting, and this year will be no different when the Patriots and Seahawks meet on February 8.

We will use this space to track the movement of the lines among all the major prop bets, including passing, rushing, and receiving.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Super Bowl Player Prop Bets, Line Movement

All lines provided by OddsJam. Updated on February 6.

Passing Yards, QB Prop Bet

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Passing Touchdowns, QB Prop Bet

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Interceptions, QB Prop Bet

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Pass Completions, QB Prop Bet

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Pass Attempts QB Prop Bet

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Longest Completion, QB Prop Bet

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Rushing Yards Prop Bet

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Rushing Attempts Prop Bet

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Longest Rush, Rushing Prop Bet

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Receiving Yards Prop Bet

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Total Receptions, Receiving Prop Bet

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Longest Reception, Receiving Prop Bet

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Combined Rushing/Receiving Yards Prop Bet

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Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

Sorting through the endless list of prop bets available for Super Bowl 60 is a challenge, so we're here to help.

Here are a few of my favorite Seahawks props to bet for Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Super Bowl 60 Seahawks Prediction: Sam Darnold Super Bowl MVP (+120)

Seven of the last 10 Super Bowl MVPs have been quarterbacks from the winning team.

Darnold has garnered attention as a potential redemption story after the Vikings moved on from the quarterback in the offseason, which can help propel his chances to win a media-voted, narrative-based award.

Darnold’s mistakes are often highlighted, but the Seahawks have the highest dropback success rate this season.

The Patriots have stifled opposing rushing attacks in the playoffs, increasing the odds that Seahawks offensive success will come on the back of Darnold.

A Seahawks victory without multiple turnovers from Darnold provides a nice opportunity to boost a Seahawks victory compared to the moneyline.

Super Bowl 60 Seahawks Prediction: A.J. Barner Anytime Touchdown (+240)

The sophomore tight end finished the season with 6 receiving touchdowns and added another on the ground.

Barner has cemented a key red zone role in the passing game, but he also comes with the added benefit of usage in short-yardage situations.

Barner was used for 10 short-yardage rush situations throughout the season, converting on 90%.

That gives him an added out if the Seahawks are on the one-yard line.

Revisionist history, but the Seahawks would love a play from the one-yard line with a 90% success rate with the Super Bowl on the line against the Patriots.

Barner is second on the Seahawks with 5 end zone targets this season.

That is important because with Milton Williams on the field this season, 81.3% of the touchdowns against the Patriots have been passing touchdowns.

The Darnold-Barner connection has been solid this year.

Barner’s targets have a 76.4% completion rate.

More Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

Sorting through the endless list of prop bets available for Super Bowl 60 is a challenge, so we're here to help.

Here are a few of my favorite Patriots props to bet for Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Super Bowl 60 Patriots Prediction: Drake Maye 32+ Pass Attempts (+113)

• Longshot: Drake Maye 40+ Pass Attempts (+690)

Game state plays a large role in how the opposition decides to attack.

The Seahawks faced 600 pass attempts, an average of 35.3 pass attempts per game and the fifth most in the league despite ranking fourth in defensive pass success rate and first in DVOA.

The Patriots were tied or trailed at halftime twice all season.

In those two games, Maye had 44 and 37 pass attempts.

The Patriots are 5-point underdogs and face arguably the most difficult opponent of the season, which could push the Patriots to lean on Maye.

In the regular season, seven quarterbacks attempted more than 40 passes against the Seahawks, providing value to this longshot.

Super Bowl 60 Patriots Prediction: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Stevenson has run a route on 56.9% of dropbacks in the postseason, up more than 5% from his regular season average.

Seahawks opponents targeted running backs on 21.2% of passes, the only team with a target rate over 20%, leading to a league high 7.5 running back targets per game against.

Including the playoffs, opposing running backs have been targeted 4 or more times in 18 of 19 games against the Seahawks.

Stevenson has dramatic splits depending on the defensive formation.

When the middle of the field is closed post-snap, Stevenson averages 0.77 yards per route.

That increases to 1.98 yards per route against the post-snap middle of the field open.

The Seahawks ranked third in the rate of 2-high coverages this season, giving Stevenson a small bump in this matchup.

Super Bowl 60 Patriots Prediction: Austin Hooper Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Hooper has played a limited role in the three playoff games for the Patriots, running a route on just 27.5% of the dropbacks.

The Patriots offense has leaned on using diverse personnel packages, lining up in 11 personnel on only 50.1% of snaps.

The Patriots have used 21 personnel at the fourth-highest rate in the league.

However, the Seahawks defense ranks first in EPA per play against 21 personnel, and the Patriots are more successful with three wide receivers or two tight ends on the field.

Hooper has been on the field for 92.3% of the passing plays in the playoffs when the Patriots line up with two tight ends on the field in either 12 or 22 personnel.

This is important because the Seahawks have been less dominant against multiple tight end sets this season.

Hooper’s on-field rate could increase as a result, and he averaged 12.5 yards per reception this season.

Ideally, Hooper only needs 1 reception to go over the total.

However, in the seven regular season games this season he had with 2 receptions or more, he cleared this receiving total in every game.

More Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

Sorting through the endless list of prop bets available for Super Bowl 60 is a challenge, so we're here to help.

Here are a few of my favorite longshot props to bet for Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Super Bowl 60 Longshot Prediction: Sam Darnold & Drake Maye Pass Completions & Pass Attempts

• Sam Darnold 24+ Completions & Drake Maye 24+ Completions (+1200)
• Sam Darnold 32+ Pass Attempts & Drake Maye 32+ Pass Attempts (+600)

The quarterback longshots are based on the fact that both teams have incredible run defenses.

Also, both offenses are elite when throwing the ball and less successful when running the ball.

Including the playoffs, this matchup features the top two passing offenses in the league in terms of success rate.

The Seahawks rank first with a 53.4% dropback success rate, and the Patriots are second with a 52.6% success rate.

Rushing success rate is a different story, with both teams ranking in the bottom 10 in terms of rushing success rate.

Sam Darnold and Drake Maye trailed only Brock Purdy amongst all NFL quarterbacks in success rate in 2025.

Although Darnold is prone to catastrophic mistakes, the Seahawks’ passing offense was efficient on a down-to-down basis.

Including playoffs, the Seahawks' rush defense has allowed a league-low 36% success rate this year.

The Patriots offense has struggled to run consistently, and the Seahawks defense has been dominant against the run consistently, increasing the possibility that the Patriots pass more than expected.

The same is true for the Seahawks offense against the Patriots defense.

The Patriots season long stats do not reflect the true ability of the defense, as the defense has drastically different stats with and without Milton Williams on the field.

Opponents have had a 31.6% rushing success rate in three playoff games against the Patriots, who have held opponents to 3.1 yards per rush in the playoffs.

The Patriots trailed at halftime just once all season, and they were tied at halftime one other time.

Maye had 28 and 31 completions in those two games.

Neither of these two teams lost a game by more than 7 points all season, which would help both quarterbacks remain aggressive.

Darnold’s season high in completions came in two losses against the Rams and Buccaneers, but like the Patriots, the Seahawks were successful in building early leads.

The Seahawks and Patriots ranked first and second in first-half point margin.

They were the only teams with a +100 or better first-half point differential.

A competitive game state would be favorable for a quarterback longshot parlay.

Super Bowl 60 Longshot Prediction: A.J. Barner & Hunter Henry Touchdown Props

• A.J. Barner & Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+900)
• A.J. Barner First Touchdown Scorer & Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+3800)

The Patriots and Seahawks defenses have not allowed a rushing touchdown in the playoffs.

They have allowed 5 combined passing touchdowns.

With Milton Williams on the field this season, 81.3% of the touchdowns against the Patriots have been passing touchdowns.

A.J. Barner is the short-yardage specialist with a 90% success rate on 10 rush attempts this season.

The tight end could score a touchdown on a tush push from the one-yard line.

Barner’s 6 receiving touchdowns and 5 end zone targets are second amongst all Seahawks receivers this season, and he has run a route on 76.3% of Sam Darnold’s dropbacks in the playoffs.

Hunter Henry led the Patriots with 7 receiving touchdowns and was tied for the team lead with 8 end zone targets this season.

The Seahawks allowed a 73% completion rate on tight end targets this season.

From Week 8 on, no non-Ram wide receiver had more than 50 receiving yards in a game against the Seahawks.

As a result, Seahawks opponents increase target rates to tight ends and running backs, targeting tight ends 24% of the time against Seattle.

The Seahawks allowed 9 rushing touchdowns this season, the second fewest in the league.

68.9% offensive touchdowns were scored through the air against the Seahawks.

As 5-point underdogs, if the Patriots fall behind early, Drake Maye could be forced to challenge the Seahawks through the air.

Super Bowl 60 Longshot Prediction: DeMario Douglas Anytime Touchdown +550

The Seahawks defense allowed 8 passing touchdowns in three games against MVP co-favorite Matthew Stafford.

The Rams finished the season with the second-best EPA per dropback, only trailing Drake Maye and the New England Patriots.

If the Patriots have success against the Seahawks, it will likely have to be through Maye.

Training camp standout DeMario Douglas ran a route on a career-low 36.3% of dropbacks this season.

Despite the low snap rate, Douglas tied his career-high with 3 receiving touchdowns and was third on the roster in red zone targets as a result of a 25.9% target rate in the red zone.

In the playoffs, Douglas has been on the field for 70% Maye’s dropbacks in the red zone compared to 40% of the dropbacks outside the redzone.

If the Patriots are trailing, a long-shot dart throw on Douglas to score a touchdown is in the range of outcomes.

More Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

Super Bowl 60 between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks is set to crown a new champion, and with it comes one of the most coveted individual honors in sports: the Super Bowl MVP Award.

While quarterbacks have dominated the award in recent years, winning 12 of the last 16, smart bettors know there's value to be found beyond the obvious choices.

With the Seahawks favored and Sam Darnold carrying short odds, let's explore alternative MVP candidates that offer better value.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Super Bowl 60 MVP Bet: Drake Maye (+240 at BetMGM)

The NFL regular-season Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award has become a quarterback award.

The Super Bowl’s MVP Award hasn’t quite reached that level, but it’s not a far cry from it.

Jalen Hurts (2024) and Patrick Mahomes (2022 and 2023) have won the previous three Super Bowl MVP Awards as the quarterback of the Super Bowl Champion, and Mahomes also won the award for the Super Bowl Champion Chiefs in 2019.

Seven of the last nine Super Bowl MVPs have been the game’s winning quarterback.

Moreover, the winning quarterback has claimed the hardware in 12 of the previous 16 Super Bowls.

Sadly, the oddsmakers understand the likelihood of a quarterback winning the award, sapping most of the value from betting on Sam Darnold to capture the honor for the favored Seahawks.

However, as long as Drake Maye’s odds to win the Super Bowl MVP Award are longer than New England’s moneyline odds, gamblers who plan to bet the Patriots moneyline can allocate some of that wager to Maye winning Super Bowl MVP.

Maye has eaten 15 sacks, thrown 2 interceptions, lost 3 fumbles, and averaged only 177.7 passing yards per game in the playoffs.

Nevertheless, Maye has made crucial plays with his legs, and his superb regular season demonstrated his excellence.

According to Sumer Sports, among quarterbacks with 100 snaps in the regular season, Maye was first in total expected points added (169.96 EPA), first in EPA per play (0.26), first in passing EPA (159.80), and 14th in rushing EPA (10.16).

If the dual-threat wunderkind from the regular season shows up and leads the Patriots to an upset victory in the Super Bowl, he’ll almost certainly be the game’s MVP.

Best Super Bowl 60 MVP Bet: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+550 at DraftKings)

Cooper Kupp was the last non-quarterback to win the Super Bowl MVP, doing so for the Rams in 2021.

The second-most recent non-quarterback to win the Super Bowl MVP was Julian Edelman in 2018.

Matthew Stafford completed 26 of 40 passes for 283 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions against the Bengals in Super Bowl LVI.

Kupp had 1 incomplete pass, a 7-yard run, 10 targets, 8 receptions, 92 receiving yards, and 2 receiving touchdowns, one of which was the game-winning score.

Kupp’s receiving yardage accounted for 32.5% of Stafford’s passing yardage, and he caught 2 of Stafford’s 3 touchdown passes.

The Rams also couldn’t generate much on the ground, with Cam Akers’ 21 rushing yards pacing the Rams and no one else reaching double digits.

Kupp was an integral piece of LA’s Super Bowl victory, but no one would have batted an eyelash at Stafford winning the Super Bowl MVP.

Still, Kupp’s large share of the passing game’s production and sequencing of his touchdowns, with the final securing the win for the Rams, earned him the honor.

Edelman’s Super Bowl LIII MVP Award was earned in a 13-3 victory.

Sony Michel scored the game’s only touchdown in a defensive slugfest.

Meanwhile, Edelman had a 34.3% target share, 10 receptions, 141 receiving yards, and an 8-yard rush.

His receiving yardage accounted for a blistering 53.8% of Tom Brady’s 262 passing yards.

Brady didn’t have a banner day, and the low-scoring contest opened the door for Edelman to secure the MVP with his massive receptions and yardage output.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba barbecued the Rams for 10 receptions, 153 receiving yards, and 1 receiving touchdown on 12 targets in the NFC Championship Game.

According to the Fantasy Points data suite, among 130 players with at least 250 routes in the regular season, JSN was second in air yards (1,794), first in air yards share (49.1%), first in target share (32.6%), second in targets per route run (0.33 TPRR), second in receiving yards per game (105.5), first in team receiving yardage market share (44.1%), second in yards per route run (3.74), and tied for sixth in receiving touchdowns (10).

The third-year pro was Seattle’s passing game in the regular season, and he was a monster in the NFC Championship Game shootout.

LA’s passing game in 2021 went through Kupp, and Seattle’s this year goes through JSN.

Seattle’s top-shelf defense could also make this a low-scoring Super Bowl, ala the 2018 Super Bowl when Edelman won the award.

Smith-Njigba offers gamblers much more bang for their buck than betting on Darnold to win the game’s MVP, especially since Darnold would likely need to have a big game using the team’s ancillary options to earn the award over JSN.

Longshot Super Bowl 60 MVP Bet: Marcus Jones (+10000 at FanDuel)

Only one non-quarterback or wideout has won a Super Bowl MVP in the last 10 years, two have done so in the past 20 years, and four have done so in the last 25 years.

All of those non-quarterbacks or wideouts were defenders.

A running back hasn’t won the Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis did in 1997.

Don’t waste money betting on a running back.

Circling back to defenders, Von Miller, Malcolm Smith, Dexter Jackson, and Ray Lewis are the defenders who’ve won Super Bowl MVPs since 2000.

Miller’s Broncos beat the Panthers 24-10 in Super Bowl 50, Smith’s Seahawks stomped the Broncos 43-8 in Super Bowl XLVIII, Jackson’s Buccaneers squashed the Raiders 48-21, and Lewis’s Ravens crushed the Giants 34-7.

Miller had 2.5 sacks and forced 2 fumbles.

Smith had a nice 69-yard pick-six and a fumble recovery.

Jackson tallied 2 interceptions.

Lewis had a rather nondescript 5 tackles and 4 passes defensed.

For a defender to win the Super Bowl MVP, it likely needs to be an uncompetitive game, and the defender probably needs to make a splashy play or two.

The Patriots are underdogs, and if they were to blow out the Seahawks, they’d likely need a game-changing play on defense, special teams, or both.

Marcus Jones can make electrifying plays on defense and special teams.

His 3 three interceptions were second on the Patriots in the regular season, and he took one to the house.

He also had 3 fumble recoveries and 2.0 sacks.

Furthermore, Jones has a pick-six in the playoffs against C.J. Stroud.

Jones’s 2 punt return touchdowns were also tied for the NFL lead in the regular season.

He has 3 punt return touchdowns and 3 interceptions for touchdowns in 51 career games.

Heck, Jones even has 1 receiving touchdown.

Jones is dynamic with the ball in his hands and is a threat to take any fielded punt, interception, or fumble recovery to the house.

Jones’s odds to win the Super Bowl MVP are too long for a player of his ilk, and sprinkling a small wager on him to capture the award is appealing.

Click here for full MVP odds and historical trends

More Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

With Super Bowl 60 fast approaching, the odds for Super Bowl MVP have started to heat up.

We'll be tracking current Super Bowl MVP odds leading up to the big game.

Super Bowl 60 MVP Favorites:

Based on current betting odds, the favorite to win the Super Bowl 60 MVP is Sam Darnold (+120), followed by:

• Drake Maye (+240)
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+500)
• Kenneth Walker (+850)

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Super Bowl 60 MVP Odds

Super Bowl 60 between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks is just under two weeks away, and now is a great time to look ahead to early props that offer good value or could see the odds move ahead of the big game.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Super Bowl 60 Prediction: Sam Darnold Under 228.5 Passing Yards (-112)

One prop that I think we could see a change to in the line itself is Sam Darnold’s passing yards.

I think this is just a bit too high at 228.5, and I’d take the under.

Yes, Darnold was fantastic in the NFC Championship, completing 69.4% of his passes for 346 yards and 3 touchdowns.

However, the Rams' cornerbacks have been their kryptonite this season, and he’ll have a much more difficult matchup against a secondary led by Christian Gonzalez and a pass rush that has been causing problems all season for their opponents.

Before the conference title game, Darnold threw for 228 yards or fewer in three straight games.

Overall, this season, he’s finished under this line eight times.

As for the Patriots, they’re surrendering 200.7 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, and only five have thrown for 229 yards or more.

The last time it happened was Week 10 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

In fact, only one quarterback since then has crossed the 200 line.

Yes, I know, the Patriots haven’t played a rockstar lineup of quarterbacks, but they have held players like Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and C.J. Stroud under that number.

Also, including the postseason, the Patriots are fourth in pressures with 295.

During the regular season only, they finished 14th with 226.

So, during this postseason, they’ve had 69 pressures, which leads all teams.

When pressured this season — which has been on 34.9% of his dropbacks — Darnold has completed 51.5% of his passes for 1,027 yards and averages 6.3 yards per attempt.

Between now and the Super Bowl, I think this line may drop a bit.

If not, I’m certainly taking the under here.

This is a tough secondary with a pass rush that should be able to get after Darnold.

I also don’t think we see a shootout game as we did in Darnold’s NFC Championship performance.

Super Bowl 60 Prediction: Drake Maye Under 7.5 Rush Attempts (-136)

This is another prop that I wouldn’t be surprised to see drop to 6.5 or so before kickoff.

Look, I get it.

Drake Maye ran 10 times last week against the Denver Broncos and 10 times in the Wild Card round against the Los Angeles Chargers, but 8 rush attempts is a lot.

Remember, last week against Denver, the weather got so bad that passing was borderline impossible.

Maye completed just 10 of 21 passes (47.6%) for 86 yards.

Thus, he ran 10 times for 65 yards, a touchdown, and also scrambled to seal the win.

That said, of those 10 carries, 3 of them were kneel-downs.

Going back to the Wild Card round, he ran 10 times, but like the conference title game, 3 of them were kneel-downs.

Across the regular and postseason, Maye is credited with 127 rush attempts, but 29 of them are kneel-downs.

When you remove the kneel-downs, he’s run 8 times or more in only one game all season.

Let’s say, though, that you think the Patriots will win, and that’ll include three kneel-downs to end the game.

He’s had five non-kneel-down carries or more in only eight of 20 games.

To add, let’s look at his carries when he’s pressured.

The Seahawks are just one of three teams to record more than 300 pressures across the regular and postseason.

When Maye is pressured, he’s run 36 times.

Plain and simple: Without the kneel-downs and potentially dealing with pressure, it’s going to be a tall task for the Patriots quarterback to reach 8 carries.

To top it all off, only two quarterbacks all season have rushed 8 times or more against the Seahawks.

Super Bowl 60 Prediction: Jake Bobo Under 0.5 Receiving Yards (-155)

One prop I’m feeling great about and think offers some great value, even at -155, is for Jake Bobo to finish under 0.5 receiving yards.

He’s gotten more involved in the past two weeks during this postseason, catching a combined 2 passes on 3 targets for 33 yards and a touchdown in the NFC Championship.

That said, he’s just barely on the field.

The Seahawks will be without running back Zach Charbonnet and, seemingly, Tory Horton Jr. in the Super Bowl.

When they’ve both not been on the field this season, including the postseason, Bobo has a 2.6% target share, catching just 3 of 4 passes for 50 yards and that score last week.

What makes me feel even better about it is that even without them both on the field, he runs a route on just 14% of his quarterback’s dropbacks.

Additionally, he’ll be taking on a Patriots defense that’s been stout against wide receivers this season, allowing 116.2 receiving yards to them per game, which is the fourth-fewest in the NFL.

Bobo isn’t only firmly behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, and Rashid Shaheed when it comes to wide receivers, but also players like Kenneth Walker III, A.J. Barner, and George Holani.

At this line, yes, it takes just one catch, but he’s not been a factor whatsoever this season.

Finally, should Horton somehow become available for the Super Bowl, Bobo will be even more invisible.

More Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

It’s been another year of explosive plays, shattered records, and burgeoning superstars.

What better way to celebrate the 2025 NFL season than with a preview of the upcoming NFL Honors award ceremony?

The event will be hosted on February 5, the Thursday before the Super Bowl, in San Francisco.

Here are our predictions for who’ll be taking home some of the most coveted accolades this league has to offer.

NFL Most Valuable Player Prediction: Matthew Stafford

Despite falling short in the playoffs, the 2025 regular season was a career-defining one for Matthew Stafford.

Through Week 18, Stafford ranked among the top 10 quarterbacks in average yards per completion (7.9) as well as average passer rating (109.2).

He also led the league with 4,707 passing yards and connected on a career-high 46 total touchdown passes (also ranked No. 1).

The next-closest quarterback in both metrics was Jared Goff, who fell 143 yards and 12 touchdowns shy of Stafford’s totals.

Stafford didn’t just outclass his 2025 competition. He also sports better passing stat lines than both of the previous two NFL MVPs.

Lamar Jackson passed for just 3,678 yards and 24 touchdowns through his 2023 MVP campaign, while Josh Allen finished the season with 3,731 yards and 28 touchdowns when he won the award last year.

Stafford’s success this season kept Los Angeles in contention despite a competitive NFC West, and he was able to elevate Davante Adams and Puka Nacua to new heights of their own, as well.

In the aftermath of his 17th season in the NFL, discussions regarding Stafford’s potential retirement are imminent.

Whether he decides to stay on remains to be seen, but this past season would serve as the perfect exclamation point on the end of one of the league’s most storied careers.

NFL Coach of the Year Prediction: Mike Vrabel

2025 produced a host of worthy candidates to take home the Coach of the Year Award.

We saw Liam Coen and Ben Johnson shift the culture in their respective new cities, while Mike Macdonald and Kyle Shanahan kept their winning ways alive in the NFC West.

But there is one success story that rises above the rest.

Mike Vrabel took the reins in New England in January of 2025, after the organization made the decision to move on from Jerod Mayo.

Disagreements with higher-ups in Tennessee ended his last head coaching gig, but Vrabel was able to prove all of his doubters wrong in just one season with the Patriots.

After the team won just four games under Mayo in 2024, Vrabel’s Patriots looked much more akin to the juggernaut of a team that Bill Belichick built his dynasty around.

New England won 14 of their 17 games this season, taking the AFC East by storm and finishing the regular season as the conference’s No. 2 playoff seed.

They’ve since run the table and earned themselves a trip back to the Super Bowl.

In Vrabel’s first season, the Patriots ranked sixth in rushing yards per game (128.9), fourth in passing yards per game (205.5), and second in points per game (28.82) behind only the Los Angeles Rams.

These are massive improvements compared to the 2024 Patriots, who ranked 13th in rush yards per game (115.8), 32nd in passing yards per game (176.2), and 30th in points per game (17.00).

Vrabel’s key to victory has been the prioritization of Drake Maye’s development.

Maye’s ascent to his newfound status as an elite passer has given Vrabel a team to build around, as all of New England’s developing skill position players benefit from a reliable quarterback-coach connection.

The newest of New England’s 16 head coaches fought hard to get to this point, and his efforts have gotten him just steps from the mountaintop.

Vrabel will have a chance to do what most coaches only dream of achieving in their first year with a new team on what’s shaping up to be a fateful first Sunday in February.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Prediction: Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Although 2025 marked his third season as a starting wideout for the Seahawks, this year could certainly be considered one long coming-out party for Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

DK Metcalf’s sudden departure for Pittsburgh in the offseason raised questions regarding Smith-Njigba’s ability to command this offense without another Pro Bowl-caliber wideout alongside him (especially as it went hand-in-hand with the introduction of a new starting quarterback).

The former Buckeye responded to those concerns by catching 119 of his 163 targets for a league-high 1,793 yards and a career-best 10 touchdowns.

He was also among the top 10 receivers in yards after the catch (528 yards) and second with 79 total 1st downs.

In an offense that was expected to be thin on weapons (featuring an aging Cooper Kupp among a host of unproven youth) throughout 2025, Smith-Njigba became a beacon of hope that the Seahawks have since turned into an unexpected run to the Super Bowl.

There’s still time for Smith-Njigba to run away with two of the NFL’s most coveted trophies this season.

NFL Defensive Player of the Year Prediction: Myles Garrett

Many of the other awards presented during this year’s NFL Honors will feature plenty of drama and speculation as to who the winner will be.

This is not one of those awards.

Even well before he shattered the NFL’s single-season sack record, a record that stood for 24 years after Michael Strahan set it back in 2002, Myles Garrett has been a shoo-in for this year’s Defensive Player of the Year award.

As impressive as his record-breaking 23 sacks were, Garrett’s impact goes much deeper than those handful of plays in which he was able to take down the quarterback.

Garrett also finished the season ranked fourth in the league with 84 pressures and second with 37 quarterback hits.

He also recovered 3 fumbles on the season.

The utter chaos Garrett unleashed as part of this Browns’ front-seven allowed Cleveland to foster a top-three pass defense in the league, holding opponents to an average of just 167.2 yards per game through the air.

Garrett isn’t the only Browns’ player eligible for one of these awards, but he was certainly the team’s, and arguably the league’s, most valuable defensive asset in 2025.

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Jaxon Smith-Njigba Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba Super Bowl MVP (+500)

The two quarterbacks are rightly favored to win Super Bowl MVP, but Smith-Njigba's price is a little too long. If the Seahawks win — they are favored — Sam Darnold would be the most likely to win the MVP because the award very often goes to the winning quarterback, but this award is not dominated by quarterbacks in the same way the regular season MVP is. Smith-Njigba profiles as the kind of receiver who wins Super Bowl MVP because he dominates the targets in the offense. JSN was first among qualifying receivers in target share (35.8%) in the regular season, and second place was well behind at 31.3%. If the game is lower scoring, the Seahawks win, and Smith-Njigba makes up a large chunk of Darnold's passing production, the receiver could end up nabbing the award.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 93.5 Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 99.5 Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 6.5 Receptions
• Opening Line: 6.5 Receptions

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Longest Reception Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 27.5 Longest Reception
• Opening Line: 27.5 Longest Reception

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best TreVeyon Henderson Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• TreVeyon Henderson Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts

Henderson has completely fallen out of the offense in the playoffs. He did get some run while Rhamondre Stevenson was sidelined with an eye injury early in the Divisional Round, but he has played just 8 snaps and has just 7 carries in his last six quarters. Perhaps the Patriots expand his role in the Super Bowl, but it is more likely they continue riding with the experienced hand in the biggest game of the year.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

TreVeyon Henderson Rushing Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 17.5 Rushing Yards
• Opening Line: 19.5 Rushing Yards

TreVeyon Henderson Rushing Attempts Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 5.5 Rushing Attempts
• Opening Line: 5.5 Rushing Attempts

TreVeyon Henderson Longest Rush Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 7.5 Longest Rush
• Opening Line: 7.5 Longest Rush

TreVeyon Henderson Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 3.5 Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 2.5 Receiving Yards

TreVeyon Henderson Receptions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 0.5 Receptions
• Opening Line: 0.5 Receptions

TreVeyon Henderson Rushing + Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 24.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 24.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Rhamondre Stevenson Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• Rhamondre Stevenson Over 14.5 Rushing Attempts

Stevenson has completely taken over New England's backfield. TreVeyon Henderson did get some work in the Divisional Round because Stevenson missed some time with an eye injury. Stevenson returned in the second half, however, and never looked back. Over the last six quarters, Stevenson has played 76 snaps to 8 for Henderson and has 38 carries to 7 for Henderson. The Patriots will likely try to run the football with their veteran back as long as the game does not get out of hand, which makes getting to 15 attempts a real possibility for Stevenson.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 48.5 Rushing Yards
• Opening Line: 56.5 Rushing Yards

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Attempts Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 14.5 Rushing Attempts
• Opening Line: 15.5 Rushing Attempts

Rhamondre Stevenson Longest Rush Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 11.5 Longest Rush
• Opening Line: 12.5 Longest Rush

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 24.5 Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 20.5 Receiving Yards

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 3.5 Receptions
• Opening Line: 2.5 Receptions

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing + Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 77.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 81.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Kenneth Walker Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• Kenneth Walker Under 72.5 Rushing Yards

There is little doubt that Walker will be the primary runner for the Seahawks in the Super Bowl. There is a lot of doubt, however, about whether those runs will be successful. Including the playoffs, the Patriots are third in the league in yards per carry allowed to running backs, seventh in negative run rate forced, and third in explosive run rate allowed. Those numbers are despite missing several key run defenders for chunks of the season. Walker is a boom-or-bust runner. He was third in explosive run among qualified backs in the regular season, but he was 36th in the rate of runs to gain five yards or more and 29th in negative run rate. Walker can beat this number with a big run, but the Patriots do not give up a lot of those, and Walker's tendency to take negative runs could play right into their hands.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Kenneth Walker Rushing Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 72.5 Rushing Yards
• Opening Line: 79.5 Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker Rushing Attempts Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 18.5 Rushing Attempts
• Opening Line: 20.5 Rushing Attempts

Kenneth Walker Longest Rush Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 14.5 Longest Rush
• Opening Line: 15.5 Longest Rush

Kenneth Walker Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 21.5 Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 20.5 Receiving Yards

Kenneth Walker Receptions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 2.5 Receptions
• Opening Line: 2.5 Receptions

Kenneth Walker Rushing + Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 98.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 102.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Drake Maye Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• Drake Maye Over 6.5 Rushing Attempts

Maye has struggled to avoid sacks when pressured this season, and that has really shown up in the playoffs. He has taken a sack on 45.5% of his pressures in the playoffs, easily the worst mark among playoff quarterbacks. The Seahawks are third in pressure rate in the playoffs and were sixth in the regular season. When he does not take a sack, though, Maye has been using his legs. He is third in scramble rate in the playoffs after being first in the regular season. He was fourth in scramble rate against pressure in the regular season, and the Seahawks faced the second-most scrambles.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Drake Maye Passing Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 219.5 Passing Yards
• Opening Line: 225.5 Passing Yards

Drake Maye Passing Touchdown Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
• Opening Line: 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Drake Maye Interception Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 0.5 Interceptions
• Opening Line: 0.5 Interceptions

Drake Maye Completions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 19.5 Completions
• Opening Line: 20.5 Completions

Drake Maye Attempts Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 30.5 Passing Attempts
• Opening Line: 30.5 Passing Attempts

Drake Maye Longest Completion Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 33.5 Longest Completion
• Opening Line: 34.5 Longest Completion

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Sam Darnold Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• Sam Darnold Longest Completion Under 35.5 Yards

After dramatically lowering his average depth of target over the back half of the regular season, Darnold has thrown down the field more in the playoffs. That said, the Patriots have been good at limiting big plays (9th in explosive pass rate against in the regular season). They also get pressure and blitz at a high rate. Darnold fell from fourth in big play rate when kept clean in the regular season to 20th when under pressure and 16th when blitzed.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 230.5 Passing Yards
• Opening Line: 229.5 Passing Yards

Sam Darnold Passing Touchdown Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
• Opening Line: 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Sam Darnold Interception Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 0.5 Interceptions
• Opening Line: 0.5 Interceptions

Sam Darnold Completions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 19.5 Completions
• Opening Line: 19.5 Completions

Sam Darnold Attempts Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 29.5 Passing Attempts
• Opening Line: 29.5 Passing Attempts

Sam Darnold Longest Completion Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 35.5 Longest Completion
• Opening Line: 35.5 Longest Completion

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best A.J. Barner Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• A.J. Barner Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

The Patriots have an underrated defense, and they are especially good at stopping the run. The middle of their defense is more forgiving to tight ends in the passing game, though, allowing 7.2 yards per target (16th) in the regular season. We could also see less man coverage in this game than the Patriots usually use — check out Warren Sharp's Super Bowl Preview for more information — which would be good for Barner's target rate. Over the back half of the season, Sam Darnold targeted tight ends on only 12% of his dropbacks against man coverage, but that number jumped to 20% against zone.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

A.J. Barner Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 25.5 Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 27.5 Receiving Yards

A.J. Barner Receptions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 2.5 Receptions
• Opening Line: 2.5 Receptions

A.J. Barner Longest Reception Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 12.5 Longest Reception
• Opening Line: 14.5 Longest Reception

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Hunter Henry Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• Hunter Henry Under 3.5 Receptions

From a relative perspective, this is a decent matchup for Henry. The Seahawks shut down wide receivers, but they are 23rd in yards per target allowed to tight ends including the playoffs. They also faced the fourth-most targets to tight ends in the regular season. All of that said, Henry has simply not been a high-volume receiver in this offense. He has failed to top 3 receptions in 11 of 20 games, and he has topped 4 receptions just four times this season. He has been targeted on 12.8% of his routes thus far in the postseason. The matchup is good, and the Patriots could be pushed to throw more if the game gets away from them. That makes this a dangerous under, but Henry simply has not been involved enough as a receiver to take the over.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 39.5 Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 37.5 Receiving Yards

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 3.5 Receptions
• Opening Line: 3.5 Receptions

Hunter Henry Longest Reception Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 17.5 Longest Reception
• Opening Line: 17.5 Longest Reception

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:

While the fantasy element of the Super Bowl is limited, the most accessible betting angles for the big game are player props.

We will list those props for every notable player in Super Bowl 60, along with our favorite bet for each player. 

Shop around for the best lines and numbers while staying up to date on the latest odds.

Visit our prop bet tracker for updated lines for every notable player in Super Bowl 60.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.

Best Kayshon Boutte Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet:

• Kayshon Boutte Longest Reception Over 17.5 Yards

This is not a good matchup for Boutte or any of the Patriots receivers. The Seahawks were first in the league in yards per target allowed to wide receivers, and they were also first in yards per target allowed to outside receivers, where Boutte runs 90% of his routes. The Seahawks allowed an explosive play on only 6.3% of targets to outside receivers, best in the league. Why, then, would we take the over here? This is a bad matchup for Boutte, but he has seen nothing but bad matchups in the playoffs, and that has not stopped the Patriots from taking shots to him down the field. 40% of his targets have been at least 20 air yards in the postseason, and he has connected on two of those 6 targets. If he catches a pass in the Super Bowl, there is a decent chance it is a shot play down the field.

Bet it now: Novig | BetMGM | Bet365 | DraftKings 

Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 29.5 Receiving Yards
• Opening Line: 26.5 Receiving Yards

Kayshon Boutte Receptions Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 2.5 Receptions
• Opening Line: 2.5 Receptions

Kayshon Boutte Longest Reception Prop, Super Bowl 60

• Current Line: 17.5 Longest Reception
• Opening Line: 17.5 Longest Reception

Explore Our Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage: