{"id":113524,"date":"2025-10-12T06:00:23","date_gmt":"2025-10-12T10:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=113524"},"modified":"2025-10-16T13:49:42","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T17:49:42","slug":"nfl-week-6-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-week-6-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Rushing Yards Odds: Best Bets &#038; Predictions for Week 6"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In four of his final six games last season, <strong>Rico<\/strong> <strong>Dowdle<\/strong> had 100-yard rushing games, so his success should come as no surprise.<\/p>\n<p>However, I don\u2019t think many could have forecasted his first 200-yard rushing performance.<\/p>\n<p>Dowdle was the running back bright spot of the week as usage dropped overall for the position, likely as a result of the increased passing volume and efficiency.<\/p>\n<p>Also, it was partially because the Eagles abandoned the running game.<\/p>\n<p>Running backs averaged a season low 20 carries per game.<\/p>\n<p>However, efficiency remained solid at 4.5 yards per carry compared to earlier in the season, when running backs had low volume and poor efficiency.<\/p>\n<p>Five running backs hit 100 rushing yards in Week 5, including <strong>Quinshon Judkins<\/strong> and <strong>Jacory Croskey-Merritt<\/strong>, the second week in a row that two rookie running backs reached triple digits.<\/p>\n<p>Last week's pick, <strong>De\u2019Von Achane<\/strong>, fell shy as he averaged 1.6 yards per carry, but the running back receiving parlay hit for a +1685 for anyone who tailed.<\/p>\n<h3>NFL Weekly Rushing Leaders, 2025:<\/h3>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='111721' id='jtrt_table_settings_111721' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Week\",\"Running Back\",\"Rushing Yards\",\"Opponent\"],[\"1\",\"Derrick Henry\",\"169\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"2\",\"Jonathan Taylor\",\"165\",\"Denver Broncos\"],[\"3\",\"David Montgomery\",\"151\",\"Baltimore Ravens\"],[\"4\",\"Ashton Jeanty\",\"138\",\"Chicago Bears\"],[\"5\",\"Rico Dowdle\",\"206\",\"Miami Dolphins\"],[\"6\",\"Rico Dowdle\",\"183\",\"Dallas Cowboys\"],[\"7\",\"Jahmyr Gibbs\",\"136\",\"Tampa Bay Buccaneers\"],[\"8\",\"James Cook\",\"216\",\"Carolina Panthers\"],[\"9\",\"Kyle Monangai\",\"176\",\"Cincinnati Bengals\"],[\"10\",\"Jonathan Taylor\",\"244\",\"Atlanta Falcons\"],[\"11\",\"De'Von Achane\",\"120\",\"Washington Commanders\"],[\"12\",\"Jahmyr Gibbs\",\"219\",\"New York Giants\"],[\"13\",\"James Cook\",\"144\",\"Pittsburgh Steelers\"],[\"14\",\"Tony Pollard\",\"161\",\"Cleveland Browns\"],[\"15\",\"TreVeyon Henderson\",\"148\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"16\",\"Jaylen Warren\",\"143\",\"Detroit Lions\"],[\"17\",\"Derrick Henry\",\"216\",\"Green Bay Packers\"],[\"18\",\"Ray Davis\",\"151\",\"New York 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data-jtrt-table-id='111721' id='jtrt_table_bps_111721' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_111721' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='111721' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Week<\/th><th>Running Back<\/th><th>Rushing Yards<\/th><th>Opponent<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>Derrick Henry<\/td><td>169<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Jonathan Taylor<\/td><td>165<\/td><td>Denver Broncos<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>David Montgomery<\/td><td>151<\/td><td>Baltimore Ravens<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Ashton Jeanty<\/td><td>138<\/td><td>Chicago Bears<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Rico Dowdle<\/td><td>206<\/td><td>Miami Dolphins<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>Rico Dowdle<\/td><td>183<\/td><td>Dallas Cowboys<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>Jahmyr Gibbs<\/td><td>136<\/td><td>Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>James Cook<\/td><td>216<\/td><td>Carolina Panthers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Kyle Monangai<\/td><td>176<\/td><td>Cincinnati Bengals<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>Jonathan Taylor<\/td><td>244<\/td><td>Atlanta Falcons<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>De'Von Achane<\/td><td>120<\/td><td>Washington Commanders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>12<\/td><td>Jahmyr Gibbs<\/td><td>219<\/td><td>New York Giants<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>13<\/td><td>James Cook<\/td><td>144<\/td><td>Pittsburgh Steelers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>Tony Pollard<\/td><td>161<\/td><td>Cleveland Browns<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15<\/td><td>TreVeyon Henderson<\/td><td>148<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>16<\/td><td>Jaylen Warren<\/td><td>143<\/td><td>Detroit Lions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17<\/td><td>Derrick Henry<\/td><td>216<\/td><td>Green Bay Packers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18<\/td><td>Ray Davis<\/td><td>151<\/td><td>New York Jets<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<h2>Most Week 6 Rushing Yards Prediction (Sunday): Rico Dowdle (+1500)<\/h2>\n<p>I wasn't going to chase the breakout player, but Dowdle is listed ninth on the odds list, which may be a mispriced.<\/p>\n<p>Dowdle handled 85% of the running back rush attempts and has a solid case for a revenge narrative.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, Dowdle was clearly better than <strong>Ezekiel Elliott<\/strong>, but he did not receive the bulk of the carries until Week 12.<\/p>\n<p>There was even a point in the season when owner Jerry Jones wanted to make a splash at the running back position and activated <strong>Dalvin Cook<\/strong> to play alongside Elliott, and Dowdle was scratched with an illness.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Breece<\/strong> <strong>Hall<\/strong> averaged 8.1 yards per carry against the Cowboys last week, who struggle to stop the run and the pass.<\/p>\n<p>The Panthers establish the run on first down as they are -9% pass rate above expectation, which provides a runway for Dowdle to compile carries.<\/p>\n<p>Dowdle had 23 carries in a game in which the Panthers fell behind 17-0.<\/p>\n<p>Game script should not be an issue for the former Cowboy running back.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Don't Miss Out on the Best Betting Recommendations Available<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Warren Sharp is entering his 20th year providing winning betting recommendations to clients.<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor has won\u00a0<strong>$3,829<\/strong>\u00a0following Warren\u2019s picks so far this season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor won\u00a0<strong>$15,636<\/strong>\u00a0following Warren\u2019s picks last season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting-fantasy-props-combo-packages\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\"><strong>Click here to learn more about 2025 Betting Packages!<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Week 6 Rushing Yards Longshot Bet: Rams Touchdown Props<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (-175)<\/li>\n<li>Kyren Williams 2+ Touchdowns (+330)<\/li>\n<li>Blake Corum Anytime Touchdown (+330)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The Baltimore Ravens are down bad in terms of injuries and have allowed 37 or more points in four of the opening five games of the season.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nick<\/strong> <strong>Chubb<\/strong> averaged 5.5 yards per carry on Sunday, well above his season average, and scored a touchdown.<\/p>\n<p>As mentioned in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/rams-ravens-week-6-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/\">Rich Hribar\u2019s Worksheet<\/a>, the Ravens have allowed 8 touchdowns to opposing backfields and are allowing 8.0 yards per carry against man\/gap runs.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kyren<\/strong> <strong>Williams<\/strong> has the third-highest rate of man\/gap runs.<\/p>\n<p>Williams for most rushing yards was a consideration, but he does not have a run greater than 20 yards this season and is more of a compiler than an explosive runner.<\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In four of his final six games last season, Rico  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29329,"featured_media":113551,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"NFL Rushing Yards Odds: Best Bets & Predictions for Week 6","_seopress_titles_desc":"Get our expert analysis and top picks for the NFL's rushing yards leader in Week 6. We break down the odds, matchups, and sleeper bets for Week 6.","_seopress_robots_index":"","mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,9],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-113524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting","category-props","tag-articles"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls":{"medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-300x200.jpg","thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-150x150.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-768x512.jpg","custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-694x683.jpg","custom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-300x300.jpg","podcast-custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-350x350.jpg","homecustom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-500x500.jpg","viz-thumb":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-255x140.jpg","amp-wp-small":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-100x100.jpg","amp-wp-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-738x430.jpg","amp-wp-normal":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-230x160.jpg","blog-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-669x272.jpg","blog-medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-320x202.jpg","recent-posts":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rico-Dowdle-Week-6-2025-700x441.jpg"},"appp_media":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29329"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=113524"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113524\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":114092,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113524\/revisions\/114092"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113551"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=113524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=113524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=113524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}