{"id":114170,"date":"2025-10-17T14:25:52","date_gmt":"2025-10-17T18:25:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=114170"},"modified":"2025-10-19T09:06:37","modified_gmt":"2025-10-19T13:06:37","slug":"best-bet-ole-miss-georgia-betting-picks-week-8-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/best-bet-ole-miss-georgia-betting-picks-week-8-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ole Miss vs. Georgia: Week 8 Betting Pick &#038; Prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This season, I\u2019m breaking down a few of college football's biggest games each week and giving out at least one bet I like from each matchup.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s dive into a showdown between SEC playoff contenders as Ole Miss travels to Athens to take on Georgia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Ole Miss vs. Georgia, current line:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/novig.onelink.me\/JHQQ\/m02yw1et\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia -7.5 at Novig<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Ole Miss at Georgia Best Bet Prediction:<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trust <\/span><b>Lane Kiffin<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2019s offense to get the job done and <\/span><b>bet on Ole Miss against the spread<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Ole Miss vs. Georgia, best line: Ole Miss +7.5<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>\u00bb<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/novig.onelink.me\/JHQQ\/m02yw1et\"> <b>Bet it now at Novig: Ole Miss +7.5 points<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n<h3><b>When Ole Miss is on Offense<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss runs a fast-paced offense under head coach<\/span><b> Lane Kiffin<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and coordinator <\/span><b>Charlie Weis Jr<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, although the unit has not been as pass-heavy as in years past.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to <a href=\"https:\/\/campus2canton.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Campus2Canton<\/a>, Kiffin\u2019s squad has a pass rate 2.6% above expected based on situation data this season.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That rate is down significantly from last year\u2019s 7.7% rate with the more experienced<\/span><b> Jaxson Dart<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at quarterback.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Trinidad Chambliss<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a transfer from D-II Ferris State, will be making his fifth start of the season for Ole Miss.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chambliss took over in Week 3 due to an injury to <\/span><b>Austin Simmons<\/b>,<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> but he has played well enough to hang on to the job.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To beat Georgia, Ole Miss will likely need to lean more heavily on Chambliss to exploit Georgia\u2019s weakness in pass defense.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Bulldogs' struggles start with their pass-rush unit, which will be at a disadvantage based on these opponent-adjusted numbers from <a href=\"https:\/\/pro.sisdatahub.com\/cfb\/Leaders\/Players#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sports Info Solutions<\/a>:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss: ranked 18th in pressure rate allowed<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia: ranked 73rd in pressure rate generated<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia\u2019s limited pass-rush is compounded by the lack of experience in the secondary.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When Georgia fails to generate pressure, it is allowing a 48% completion rate on throws 10 or more yards downfield, ranked 56th in the FBS.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia's secondary has thrived in recent years thanks to star safeties such as <\/span><b>Malaki Starks<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, <\/span><b>Tykee Smith<\/b>,<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and<\/span><b> Javon Bullard<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, but this year\u2019s unit, featuring <\/span><b>KJ Bolden<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">,<\/span><b> Kyron Jones<\/b>,<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><b>Joenel Aguero<\/b>,<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has failed to live up to that lofty standard.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In addition to some struggles defending downfield, Georgia\u2019s safeties have also contributed to an inability to defend underneath routes and limit yards after catch.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kiffin\u2019s offense is built around getting the ball to his playmakers in space \u4e00 as a result, it\u2019s no surprise Ole Miss ranks third in the country, averaging 8.0 yards after catch per reception.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That\u2019s a problematic trend for Georgia\u2019s defense, which ranks 92nd by the same metric, allowing 6.2 yards after catch per reception.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss might lean more into the passing game in this matchup than in recent weeks because Georgia holds a clear advantage in the run game.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Take a look at these opponent-adjusted numbers from Sports Info Solutions:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss: ranked 43rd in yards before contact<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia: ranked 6th in yards before contact allowed<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss: ranked 73rd in yards after contact<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia: ranked 6th in yards after contact allowed<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kiffin\u2019s strategy in the run game is typically to spread the defense, but that hasn\u2019t worked against the Bulldogs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When lined up with a light box, Georgia is still only allowing 3.4 yards per attempt to running backs, the seventh-best rate in the nation.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Due to Ole Miss\u2019 pass-heavy strategy, issues in the run game might not play a huge role, but it could limit their ability to bleed some clock if it gains a second-half lead.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>When Georgia is on Offense<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia is running a balanced offense this season under coordinator <\/span><b>Mike Bobo<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, though this matchup likely dictates a more run-centric game plan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss can\u2019t stop the run, and the Bulldogs hold a decisive advantage based on these opponent-adjusted numbers from Sports Info Solutions:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia: ranked 22nd in yards before contact<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss: ranked 120th in yards before contact allowed<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia relies on heavier formations, which allows the defense to stack the box at a high rate, but that doesn\u2019t help Ole Miss.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even with a stacked box, Ole Miss is allowing\u00a0 2.8 yards before contact (ranked 107th) and 4.8 yards per attempt (ranked 92nd) \u4e00 and that\u2019s despite not playing anyone with a strong rushing attack.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Due to Ole Miss\u2019 inability to contain the run, opponents are only reaching third-and-long on 23% of sets of downs, ranked 75th.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This likely allows Georgia to control the ball and bleed the clock against Ole Miss when it gets a lead, or if it simply wants to keep the ball out of the hands of Ole Miss\u2019 potent offense.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The rushing attack gives Georgia a clear path to victory so long as it maintains a lead, but if the Bulldogs should fall behind, they might be in trouble.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The strength of the Ole Miss defense is its pass rush, which might have an edge in this contest based on these opponent-adjusted numbers from Sports Info Solutions:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia: ranked 24th in pressure rate allowed<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ole Miss: ranked 4th in pressure rate generated<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First-year starter <\/span><b>Gunner Stockton<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has been inconsistent against pressure, especially against the better defenses on Georgia\u2019s schedule.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Against Auburn, Tennessee, and Alabama, Stockton has taken a sack on 25% of his dropbacks versus pressure.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Georgia also struggles to produce big plays in the passing game, generating 20 or more yards on 9.7% of attempts, ranked 78th.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The primary reason for those struggles is Stockton, who is completing just 44% of his throws at 10 or more yards downfield (ranked 98th) with a 65% catchable pass rate (ranked 118th).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So if Ole Miss can turn this game into a shootout or force Georgia to play from behind in the second half, the Bulldogs might struggle to keep pace.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Final Thoughts on Georgia vs. Ole Miss Best Bets<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This Georgia defense is not loaded with first-round draft picks like in years past, so let\u2019s <\/span><b>bet on Ole Miss to cover the spread<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with its potent offensive attack.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While Georgia is still a strong program and a legitimate playoff contender, it gets too much credit for its past success as a nearly-unbeatable powerhouse.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Since the start of last season, Georgia is 2-8 against the spread as a home favorite.<\/span><\/p>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"sf_image_divider\">\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/themes\/Avada-child\/img\/red_lines-separate.png\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This season, I\u2019m breaking down a few of college football&#8217;s  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20699,"featured_media":114198,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"Ole Miss vs. Georgia: Week 8 Betting Pick & Prediction","_seopress_titles_desc":"We give you our college football prediction for Georgia vs. Ole Miss when betting against the spread, breaking down Week 8 of the 2025 NCAA 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