{"id":115270,"date":"2025-11-02T07:55:46","date_gmt":"2025-11-02T12:55:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=115270"},"modified":"2025-11-05T10:16:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T15:16:14","slug":"nfl-week-9-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-week-9-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Receiving Yards Odds: Best Bets &#038; Predictions for Week 9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s fitting that <strong>Tucker<\/strong> <strong>Kraft<\/strong> became the first tight end to lead all players in receiving yards in 2025 on National Tight End Day.<\/p>\n<p>In a week of uncompetitive game states, only two players reached the 100-yard receiving mark, the lowest of the season and well below the previous low of six in Week 6.<\/p>\n<p>Kraft had 25.7% of the Packers' targets and converted 77.8% into receptions.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rome<\/strong> <strong>Odunze<\/strong>, who also eclipsed 100 yards, had 28.6% of the Bears' targets, which supports the recent trend of volume and efficiency as a key to leading receiving yards.<\/p>\n<p>Despite it being National Tight End Day, wide receivers hit a season high 59.9% target rate in Week 9.<\/p>\n<p>There is a lot of variance chasing most receiving yards, as there are more players who can potentially lead each week.<\/p>\n<p>However, chasing volume in condensed target trees is critical as game state is less important for receivers.<\/p>\n<h3>NFL Weekly Receiving Leaders, 2025:<\/h3>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='111722' id='jtrt_table_settings_111722' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Week\",\"Wide Receiver\",\"Receiving Yards\",\"Opponent\"],[\"1\",\"Zay Flowers\",\"140\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"2\",\"Malik Nabers\",\"167\",\"Dallas Cowboys\"],[\"3\",\"Tre Tucker\",\"145\",\"Washington Commanders\"],[\"4\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"170\",\"Indianapolis Colts\"],[\"5\",\"Emeka Egbuka\",\"163\",\"Seattle Seahawks\"],[\"6\",\"George Pickens\",\"168\",\"Carolina Panthers\"],[\"7\",\"Devonta Smith\",\"183\",\"Minnesota Vikings\"],[\"8\",\"Tucker Kraft\",\"143\",\"Pittsburgh Steelers\"],[\"9\",\"Jaxon Smith-Njigba\",\"129\",\"Washington Commanders\"],[\"10\",\"Nico Collins\",\"136\",\"Jacksonville Jaguars\"],[\"11\",\"Michael Wilson\",\"185\",\"San Francisco 49ers\"],[\"12\",\"Jaxon Smith-Njigba\",\"167\",\"Tennessee Titans\"],[\"13\",\"Jameson Williams\",\"144\",\"Green Bay Packers\"],[\"14\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"167\",\"Arizona Cardinals\"],[\"15\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"181\",\"Detroit Lions\"],[\"16\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"225\",\"Seattle Seahawks\"],[\"17\",\"Luther Burden\",\"138\",\"San Francisco 49ers\"],[\"18\",\"Amon-Ra St. Brown\",\"139\",\"Chicago 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data-jtrt-table-id='111722' id='jtrt_table_bps_111722' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_111722' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='111722' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Week<\/th><th>Wide Receiver<\/th><th>Receiving Yards<\/th><th>Opponent<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>Zay Flowers<\/td><td>140<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Malik Nabers<\/td><td>167<\/td><td>Dallas Cowboys<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>Tre Tucker<\/td><td>145<\/td><td>Washington Commanders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>170<\/td><td>Indianapolis Colts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Emeka Egbuka<\/td><td>163<\/td><td>Seattle Seahawks<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>George Pickens<\/td><td>168<\/td><td>Carolina Panthers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>Devonta Smith<\/td><td>183<\/td><td>Minnesota Vikings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>Tucker Kraft<\/td><td>143<\/td><td>Pittsburgh Steelers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Jaxon Smith-Njigba<\/td><td>129<\/td><td>Washington Commanders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>Nico Collins<\/td><td>136<\/td><td>Jacksonville Jaguars<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>Michael Wilson<\/td><td>185<\/td><td>San Francisco 49ers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>12<\/td><td>Jaxon Smith-Njigba<\/td><td>167<\/td><td>Tennessee Titans<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>13<\/td><td>Jameson Williams<\/td><td>144<\/td><td>Green Bay Packers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>167<\/td><td>Arizona Cardinals<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>181<\/td><td>Detroit Lions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>16<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>225<\/td><td>Seattle Seahawks<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17<\/td><td>Luther Burden<\/td><td>138<\/td><td>San Francisco 49ers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18<\/td><td>Amon-Ra St. Brown<\/td><td>139<\/td><td>Chicago Bears<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<h2>Most Week 9 Receiving Yards Prediction (Sunday): Jauan Jennings (+4000)<\/h2>\n<p>Despite all the injuries the 49ers have sustained on both sides of the ball, the offense has flown under the radar in terms of pace of play.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kyle Shanahan<\/strong>\u2019s offense is averaging 65.6 offensive plays per game, four more plays per game than any 49ers offense over the previous four seasons.<\/p>\n<p>Prior to last week, in which the Texans held the ball for more than 24 minutes in the first half, the 49ers averaged 68.7 plays per game.<\/p>\n<p>Shanahan is not holding back despite missing his starting quarterback, his top three wide receivers, and his tight end for the majority of the season.<\/p>\n<p>To make this matchup even more interesting, the New York Giants are facing 36.9 pass attempts per game, the sixth most in the league.<\/p>\n<p>In their opening eight games, the Giants have allowed four 100-yard receiving games and use man coverage at the second-highest rate.<\/p>\n<p>Given the state of the Giants secondary, with several injuries, the willingness to play man coverage could be a recipe for explosive plays against a Shanahan-led offense.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jauan Jennings<\/strong> has battled through some injuries this season, but when the opposition plays man coverage, Jennings is the 49ers' go-to guy.<\/p>\n<p>He has been targeted on 34.5% of his routes against man.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past two weeks, Jennings has run a route on 86.7% and 91.7% of the 49ers' dropbacks, which indicates his health is improving after missing Week 5 and only running a route on 60.7% of the first half dropbacks in Week 6.<\/p>\n<p>The matchup and play volume provide a great opportunity for Jennings.<\/p>\n<p>However, this game could also become a shootout as the 49ers have defensive issues of their own.<\/p>\n<p>The 49ers are 31st with a 3.2% sack rate and have generated a 26.6% pressure rate since Week 4, after <strong>Nick<\/strong> <strong>Bosa<\/strong> was lost for the season due to an injury.<\/p>\n<p>The 49ers have allowed 293 passing yards per game and 8.0 yards per pass attempt over their past four games, which provides fuel for this game to take off.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Don't Miss Out on the Best Betting Recommendations Available<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Warren Sharp is entering his 20th year providing winning betting recommendations to clients.<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor has won\u00a0<strong>$4,462<\/strong>\u00a0following Warren\u2019s picks so far this season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor won\u00a0<strong>$15,636<\/strong>\u00a0following Warren\u2019s picks last season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting-fantasy-props-combo-packages\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\"><strong>Click here to learn more about 2025 Betting Packages!<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Week 9 Receiving Yards Longshot Bet: Tyler Warren Bets<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-111)<\/li>\n<li>80+ Receiving Yards (+209)<\/li>\n<li>100+ Receiving Yards (+449)<\/li>\n<li>Anytime Touchdown (+140)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Warren came out of the gates hot in his rookie season, opening the year with back-to-back games of more than 75 yards.<\/p>\n<p>However, the counting stats have slowed down since the opening two weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past 6 weeks, the Indianapolis Colts have led at halftime in five games, and in four of those games have led by 10 or more points, which has translated into a run-centric approach in the second half of games.<\/p>\n<p>Warren is averaging 43 receiving yards per game in the first half of games, which drops to 18.5 receiving yards in the second half of games.<\/p>\n<p>He is averaging 2.0 yards per route as a rookie in the second half of games.<\/p>\n<p>The route volume has plummeted because the Colts have dominated the opposition.<\/p>\n<p>Enter <strong>Mike<\/strong> <strong>Tomlin<\/strong> and the Pittsburgh Steelers at home, who could potentially work some magic to have the Steelers hang around this week.<\/p>\n<p>The Steelers built a double-digit halftime lead against the Packers on Sunday, which propelled <strong>Tucker<\/strong> <strong>Kraft<\/strong> to the most receiving yards on Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>The Steelers are allowing a league high 79.3 yards per game, 14 explosive passes, and 7.3 yards after the catch to opposing tight ends this season.<\/p>\n<p>The Steelers provide an excellent matchup for Warren, which could turn into a big day for the rookie tight end if this game remains competitive.<\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s fitting that Tucker Kraft became the first tight end  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29329,"featured_media":89700,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"NFL Receiving Yards Odds: Best Bets & Predictions for Week 9","_seopress_titles_desc":"Get our expert analysis and top picks for the NFL's recieving yards leader in Week 9. We break down the odds, matchups, and sleeper bets for Week 9.","_seopress_robots_index":"","mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,9],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-115270","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting","category-props","tag-articles"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls":{"medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-300x200.jpg","thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-150x150.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-768x512.jpg","custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-694x683.jpg","custom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-300x300.jpg","podcast-custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-350x350.jpg","homecustom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-500x500.jpg","viz-thumb":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-255x140.jpg","amp-wp-small":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-100x100.jpg","amp-wp-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-738x430.jpg","amp-wp-normal":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-230x160.jpg","blog-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-669x446.jpg","blog-medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-320x213.jpg","recent-posts":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-700x467.jpg","recent-works-thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-66x44.jpg","fusion-200":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-200x133.jpg","fusion-400":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-400x267.jpg","fusion-600":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-600x400.jpg","fusion-800":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-800x534.jpg","portfolio-full":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-940x627.jpg","portfolio-one":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-540x360.jpg","portfolio-two":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-460x307.jpg","portfolio-three":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-300x200.jpg","portfolio-five":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-177x118.jpg","profile_24":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-24x24.jpg","profile_48":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-48x48.jpg","profile_96":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-96x96.jpg","profile_150":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-150x150.jpg","profile_300":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Jauan-Jennings-Week-4-2024-300x300.jpg"},"appp_media":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115270","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29329"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115270"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115270\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":115504,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115270\/revisions\/115504"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89700"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http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