Lamar<\/strong> Jackson<\/strong> returned from a four-week absence to trounce the Dolphins in Week 9, leading the Ravens to 28 points.<\/p>\n In Jackson\u2019s five starts this season, Baltimore has scored 40, 41, 30, 20, and 28 points.<\/p>\n Thus, the Ravens have averaged 31.8 points per game, with a median of 30 in Jackson\u2019s starts.<\/p>\n Despite his season being paused because of a hamstring injury, Jackson is having a sensational campaign.<\/p>\n According to Sumer Sports, Jackson is second in expected points added (EPA) per play among quarterbacks with at least 100 plays this year.<\/p>\n The two-time NFL MVP has a fantastic matchup this week.<\/p>\n According to the Fantasy Points data suite, the Vikings have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game (279), the second-most adjusted net yards per pass attempt (9.29), and 8 passing touchdowns with only 1 interception since Week 6.<\/p>\n Unsurprisingly, the Brian<\/strong> Flores<\/strong>-coached defense has blitzed a ton.<\/p>\n According to Pro Football Reference, the Vikings have the second-highest blitz rate (40.6%) this year.<\/p>\n Blitzing Jackson isn\u2019t advised.<\/p>\n Jackson is the fourth-highest graded passer by Pro Football Focus (PFF) among 31 blitzed on at least 50 dropbacks this year.<\/p>\n Jackson has been blitzed 55 times and completed 37 of 47 attempts (78.7%) for 465 yards, 9.9 yards per attempt, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception.<\/p>\n Jackson should shred the Vikings.<\/p>\n Derrick<\/strong> Henry<\/strong> has also excelled in Jackson\u2019s starts.<\/p>\n In Jackson\u2019s five starts, Henry has trounced opponents for 403 rushing yards (80.6 per game), 5.93 yards per carry, a 10.3% explosive run rate, and 3 rushing touchdowns.<\/p>\n If Baltimore\u2019s suddenly healthier defense plays well, it can provide the offense with favorable field position.<\/p>\n According to StatHead, among quarterbacks with at least 50 pass attempts since 2000, J.J. McCarthy<\/strong>\u2019s 17.50% sack rate is the fifth-highest.<\/p>\n Additionally, McCarthy\u2019s 5.3% turnover-worthy play rate is tied for the third-highest among 39 quarterbacks with at least 70 dropbacks this year.<\/p>\n Again, the Ravens could have short fields if McCarthy continues to play mistake-filled football.<\/p>\n Conversely, if Baltimore\u2019s defense continues to struggle and McCarthy plays better, the Vikings could push the Ravens to keep scoring.<\/p>\n Either outcome would help the Ravens exceed 26.5 points for the fifth time in a Jackson start this year.<\/p>\n\t
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