{"id":116994,"date":"2025-11-23T07:30:28","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T12:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=116994"},"modified":"2025-11-25T16:52:39","modified_gmt":"2025-11-25T21:52:39","slug":"nfl-week-12-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-week-12-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Receiving Yards Odds: Best Bets &#038; Predictions for Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Volume continues to be king for pass catchers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Michael<\/strong> <strong>Wilson<\/strong> benefited from 18 targets to produce the best receiving game to date, racking up 185 receiving yards.<\/p>\n<p>Eight pass catchers reached 100 yards receiving, including six wide receivers, one running back, and one tight end.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Trey<\/strong> <strong>McBride<\/strong> became the first tight end to register two 100-yard receiving games in a row this season.<\/p>\n<p>He has benefited from the Cardinals allowing more than 40 points in back-to-back games.<\/p>\n<p>Teams that fall behind early and continue to give up points don\u2019t have the luxury to run the ball, which benefits the pass catchers.<\/p>\n<p>Tight end usage continued to remain higher than in previous years, which is a trend likely to continue as teams increase heavy personnel usage.<\/p>\n<p>There is a lot of variance chasing most receiving yards since there are more players who can potentially lead each week.<\/p>\n<p>However, chasing volume in condensed target trees is critical as game state is least important for receivers.<\/p>\n<h3>NFL Weekly Receiving Leaders, 2025:<\/h3>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='111722' id='jtrt_table_settings_111722' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Week\",\"Wide Receiver\",\"Receiving Yards\",\"Opponent\"],[\"1\",\"Zay Flowers\",\"140\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"2\",\"Malik Nabers\",\"167\",\"Dallas Cowboys\"],[\"3\",\"Tre Tucker\",\"145\",\"Washington Commanders\"],[\"4\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"170\",\"Indianapolis Colts\"],[\"5\",\"Emeka Egbuka\",\"163\",\"Seattle Seahawks\"],[\"6\",\"George Pickens\",\"168\",\"Carolina Panthers\"],[\"7\",\"Devonta Smith\",\"183\",\"Minnesota Vikings\"],[\"8\",\"Tucker Kraft\",\"143\",\"Pittsburgh Steelers\"],[\"9\",\"Jaxon Smith-Njigba\",\"129\",\"Washington Commanders\"],[\"10\",\"Nico Collins\",\"136\",\"Jacksonville Jaguars\"],[\"11\",\"Michael Wilson\",\"185\",\"San Francisco 49ers\"],[\"12\",\"Jaxon Smith-Njigba\",\"167\",\"Tennessee Titans\"],[\"13\",\"Jameson Williams\",\"144\",\"Green Bay Packers\"],[\"14\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"167\",\"Arizona Cardinals\"],[\"15\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"181\",\"Detroit Lions\"],[\"16\",\"Puka Nacua\",\"225\",\"Seattle Seahawks\"],[\"17\",\"Luther Burden\",\"138\",\"San Francisco 49ers\"],[\"18\",\"Amon-Ra St. Brown\",\"139\",\"Chicago 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data-jtrt-table-id='111722' id='jtrt_table_bps_111722' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_111722' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='111722' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Week<\/th><th>Wide Receiver<\/th><th>Receiving Yards<\/th><th>Opponent<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>Zay Flowers<\/td><td>140<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Malik Nabers<\/td><td>167<\/td><td>Dallas Cowboys<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>Tre Tucker<\/td><td>145<\/td><td>Washington Commanders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>170<\/td><td>Indianapolis Colts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Emeka Egbuka<\/td><td>163<\/td><td>Seattle Seahawks<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>George Pickens<\/td><td>168<\/td><td>Carolina Panthers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>Devonta Smith<\/td><td>183<\/td><td>Minnesota Vikings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>Tucker Kraft<\/td><td>143<\/td><td>Pittsburgh Steelers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Jaxon Smith-Njigba<\/td><td>129<\/td><td>Washington Commanders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>Nico Collins<\/td><td>136<\/td><td>Jacksonville Jaguars<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>Michael Wilson<\/td><td>185<\/td><td>San Francisco 49ers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>12<\/td><td>Jaxon Smith-Njigba<\/td><td>167<\/td><td>Tennessee Titans<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>13<\/td><td>Jameson Williams<\/td><td>144<\/td><td>Green Bay Packers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>167<\/td><td>Arizona Cardinals<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>181<\/td><td>Detroit Lions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>16<\/td><td>Puka Nacua<\/td><td>225<\/td><td>Seattle Seahawks<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17<\/td><td>Luther Burden<\/td><td>138<\/td><td>San Francisco 49ers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18<\/td><td>Amon-Ra St. Brown<\/td><td>139<\/td><td>Chicago Bears<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<h2>Most Week 12 Receiving Yards Prediction (Sunday): Amon-Ra St. Brown<\/h2>\n<p>While <strong>Jameson<\/strong> <strong>Williams<\/strong> has stolen the attention since <strong>Dan<\/strong> <strong>Campbell<\/strong> has taken over play calling duties, St. Brown\u2019s peripherals remain incredible.<\/p>\n<p>St. Brown has drawn a target on over 30% of his routes in 90% of his starts this season, including outtargeting Williams by a 20-14 margin over the past two weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Also working in St Brown\u2019s favor is the absence of <strong>Sam<\/strong> <strong>LaPorta<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>In 2024, St Brown averaged 3.31 yards per route when LaPorta was not on the field, an increase of over a yard per route.<\/p>\n<p>He saw an 8% increase in target share.<\/p>\n<p>The Lions are playing at home indoors, which has provided <strong>Jared<\/strong> <strong>Goff<\/strong> with favorable passing splits over his career.<\/p>\n<p>Most importantly, St. Brown faces an injured Giants secondary that rolls out man coverage at the league\u2019s second-highest rate.<\/p>\n<p>St. Brown has been targeted on 40.5% of his routes against man coverage this season.<\/p>\n<p>The Lions are coming off an embarrassing offensive performance on national television, and this is an ideal matchup for St. Brown and the Lions to put up a crooked number on the New York Giants.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Don't Miss Out on the Best Betting Recommendations Available<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Warren Sharp is entering his 20th year providing winning betting recommendations to clients.<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor has won\u00a0<strong>$6,524\u00a0<\/strong>following Warren\u2019s picks so far this season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor won\u00a0<strong>$15,636<\/strong>\u00a0following Warren\u2019s picks last season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting-fantasy-props-combo-packages\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\"><strong>Click here to learn more about 2025 Betting Packages!<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Week 12 Receiving Yards Longshot Bet: Adonai Mitchell Bets<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-114)<\/li>\n<li>60+ Receiving Yards (+376)<\/li>\n<li>Anytime Touchdown (+390)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Those who can read the Sharp Football Slack chats are aware of the fact that I was bullish on <strong>Adonai Mitchell<\/strong> last week.<\/p>\n<p>Mitchell drew 6 targets and was targeted on 28.6% of his routes a week after being traded to a new team.<\/p>\n<p>The results did not match, as Mitchell managed a single reception and 10 yards.<\/p>\n<p>The Jets are turning to <strong>Tyrod<\/strong> <strong>Taylor<\/strong> this week, which provides a significant bump to the pass catchers.<\/p>\n<p>In his only start this season, Taylor had 46 dropbacks including 21 dropbacks and 16 pass attempts in the first half.<\/p>\n<p>In the past two games, <strong>Justin<\/strong> <strong>Fields<\/strong> has averaged 9.5 dropbacks and 6.5 pass attempts in the first half.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/jets-ravens-week-12-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/\">As mentioned in Rich Hribar\u2019s Worksheet<\/a>, in his short NFL career, Mitchell has been targeted on a league-high 42% of his routes against man coverage dating back to last year.<\/p>\n<p>Mitchell may provide some volatility in turning his targets into production, but the underlying metrics are there for this young wide receiver.<\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Volume continues to be king for pass catchers. Michael Wilson  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29329,"featured_media":112352,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"NFL Receiving Yards Odds: Best Bets & Predictions for Week 12","_seopress_titles_desc":"Get our expert analysis and top picks for the NFL's recieving yards leader in Week 12. We break down the odds, matchups, and sleeper bets for Week 12.","_seopress_robots_index":"","mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,9],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-116994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting","category-props","tag-articles"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls":{"medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-300x200.jpg","thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-150x150.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-768x512.jpg","custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-694x683.jpg","custom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-300x300.jpg","podcast-custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-350x350.jpg","homecustom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-500x500.jpg","viz-thumb":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-255x140.jpg","amp-wp-small":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-100x100.jpg","amp-wp-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-738x430.jpg","amp-wp-normal":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-230x160.jpg","blog-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-669x272.jpg","blog-medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-320x202.jpg","recent-posts":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Amon-Ra-St-Brown-Week-4-2025-700x441.jpg"},"appp_media":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29329"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=116994"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116994\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":117178,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116994\/revisions\/117178"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/112352"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=116994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=116994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=116994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}