{"id":118687,"date":"2025-12-14T08:40:02","date_gmt":"2025-12-14T13:40:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=118687"},"modified":"2025-12-16T18:31:19","modified_gmt":"2025-12-16T23:31:19","slug":"nfl-week-15-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-week-15-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Rushing Yards Odds: Best Bets &#038; Predictions for Week 15"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tony Pollard had his first 100-yard rushing game of the season, in large part due to 69 and 32-yard rushing touchdowns.<\/p>\n<p>Pollard racked up 25 carries as the Titans scored twice in the first quarter, which were the Titans' 2nd and 3rd offensive touchdowns in the opening quarter of the season.<\/p>\n<p>Four running backs reached 100 rushing yards in Week 14.<\/p>\n<p>Of the four, three had at least 20 carries, and three were on the winning team.<\/p>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='118107' id='jtrt_table_settings_118107' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Wild Card Round NFL Odds\"],[\"<a href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/betting\\\/nfl-wild-card-round-passing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\\\/\\\">NFL Passing Leader Odds<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/betting\\\/nfl-wild-card-round-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\\\/\\\">NFL Receiving Leader Odds<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/betting\\\/nfl-wild-card-round-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\\\/\\\">NFL Rushing Leader Odds<\\\/a>\"]],[{\"row\":0,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0},{\"row\":1,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":2,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":3,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":3,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}}],[],[]]<\/textarea><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='118107' id='jtrt_table_bps_118107' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_118107' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='118107' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Wild Card Round NFL Odds<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-wild-card-round-passing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/\">NFL Passing Leader Odds<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-wild-card-round-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/\">NFL Receiving Leader Odds<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-wild-card-round-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/\">NFL Rushing Leader Odds<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Volume remains a critical component chasing rushing leaders, and volume is often correlated with a favorable game script.<\/p>\n<p>The top eight single game rushing performances this season have come from running backs on the winning team.<\/p>\n<p>Up to this point, 16 of the top 17 highest rushing totals on the season are from running backs on the winning team.<\/p>\n<p>The one that was on the losing side lost by a single point in the final minute of the game.<\/p>\n<p>In chasing most rushing yards or rushing yards over prop bets, identifying favorites or short dogs is a key component.<\/p>\n<p>There are four games with double-digit favorites this week, which should be the starting point when searching for running backs who could be propelled to early leads and favorable volume for a spike week.<\/p>\n<h3>NFL Weekly Rushing Leaders, 2025:<\/h3>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='111721' id='jtrt_table_settings_111721' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Week\",\"Running Back\",\"Rushing Yards\",\"Opponent\"],[\"1\",\"Derrick Henry\",\"169\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"2\",\"Jonathan Taylor\",\"165\",\"Denver Broncos\"],[\"3\",\"David Montgomery\",\"151\",\"Baltimore Ravens\"],[\"4\",\"Ashton Jeanty\",\"138\",\"Chicago Bears\"],[\"5\",\"Rico Dowdle\",\"206\",\"Miami Dolphins\"],[\"6\",\"Rico Dowdle\",\"183\",\"Dallas Cowboys\"],[\"7\",\"Jahmyr Gibbs\",\"136\",\"Tampa Bay Buccaneers\"],[\"8\",\"James Cook\",\"216\",\"Carolina Panthers\"],[\"9\",\"Kyle Monangai\",\"176\",\"Cincinnati Bengals\"],[\"10\",\"Jonathan Taylor\",\"244\",\"Atlanta Falcons\"],[\"11\",\"De'Von Achane\",\"120\",\"Washington Commanders\"],[\"12\",\"Jahmyr Gibbs\",\"219\",\"New York Giants\"],[\"13\",\"James Cook\",\"144\",\"Pittsburgh Steelers\"],[\"14\",\"Tony Pollard\",\"161\",\"Cleveland Browns\"],[\"15\",\"TreVeyon Henderson\",\"148\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"16\",\"Jaylen Warren\",\"143\",\"Detroit Lions\"],[\"17\",\"Derrick Henry\",\"216\",\"Green Bay Packers\"],[\"18\",\"Ray Davis\",\"151\",\"New York 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data-jtrt-table-id='111721' id='jtrt_table_bps_111721' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_111721' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='111721' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Week<\/th><th>Running Back<\/th><th>Rushing Yards<\/th><th>Opponent<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>Derrick Henry<\/td><td>169<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Jonathan Taylor<\/td><td>165<\/td><td>Denver Broncos<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>David Montgomery<\/td><td>151<\/td><td>Baltimore Ravens<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Ashton Jeanty<\/td><td>138<\/td><td>Chicago Bears<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Rico Dowdle<\/td><td>206<\/td><td>Miami Dolphins<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>Rico Dowdle<\/td><td>183<\/td><td>Dallas Cowboys<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>Jahmyr Gibbs<\/td><td>136<\/td><td>Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>James Cook<\/td><td>216<\/td><td>Carolina Panthers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Kyle Monangai<\/td><td>176<\/td><td>Cincinnati Bengals<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>Jonathan Taylor<\/td><td>244<\/td><td>Atlanta Falcons<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>De'Von Achane<\/td><td>120<\/td><td>Washington Commanders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>12<\/td><td>Jahmyr Gibbs<\/td><td>219<\/td><td>New York Giants<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>13<\/td><td>James Cook<\/td><td>144<\/td><td>Pittsburgh Steelers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>Tony Pollard<\/td><td>161<\/td><td>Cleveland Browns<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15<\/td><td>TreVeyon Henderson<\/td><td>148<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>16<\/td><td>Jaylen Warren<\/td><td>143<\/td><td>Detroit Lions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17<\/td><td>Derrick Henry<\/td><td>216<\/td><td>Green Bay Packers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18<\/td><td>Ray Davis<\/td><td>151<\/td><td>New York Jets<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p><strong>Don't Miss Out on the Best Betting Recommendations Available<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Warren Sharp is entering his 20th year providing winning betting recommendations to clients.<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor has won\u00a0<strong>$8,907 <\/strong>following Warren\u2019s picks so far this season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A $100 bettor won\u00a0<strong>$15,636<\/strong>\u00a0following Warren\u2019s picks last season.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting-fantasy-props-combo-packages\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\"><strong>Click here to learn more about 2025 Betting Packages!<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Most Week 15 Rushing Yards Prediction (Sunday): Travis Etienne (+1400)<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Bhayshul<\/strong> <strong>Tuten<\/strong> fumbled twice on two carries last week, earning himself a spot as a spectator for the remainder of the game.<\/p>\n<p>As the Jaguars chase a division championship and playoff spot, they are likely to rely on the veteran running back down the stretch.<\/p>\n<p>Etienne had a season-high 90.2% of the running back carries on Sunday and has a solid matchup.<\/p>\n<p>The Jaguars are 13.5-point favorites against a team starting an undrafted rookie quarterback.<\/p>\n<p>The Jets have allowed 25.7 running back attempts per game this season and have struggled to stop teams on the ground over the past couple of weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past two weeks, the Jets have allowed opposing running backs to average 5.6 yards per rush and 189 rushing yards per game.<\/p>\n<p>As two-touchdown underdogs, they are likely to face another 30 running back touches on Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>Etienne can get to a spike week with sheer volume alone, but the Jets have allowed 5 explosive rushes in each of the last two games, which improves Etienne\u2019s ceiling.<\/p>\n<h2>Week 15 Running Back Longshot Bet: D\u2019Andre Swift-Kyle Monangai Combined Rushing Yards<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>125+ rushing yards (+104)<\/li>\n<li>150+ rushing yards (+267)<\/li>\n<li>175+ rushing yards (+640)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The Cleveland Browns have a great down-to-down rush defense, but they are starting to leak explosive runs as they close out the season.<\/p>\n<p>The Browns rank first in rush success rate, but have been susceptible to allowing some long runs.<\/p>\n<p>Since Week 7, they have allowed the third-most rushes of 25+ yards.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ben<\/strong> <strong>Johnson<\/strong> has the Bears at the top of the league in yards before contact per rush, which can help negate the Browns' down-to-down success.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past six games, the Bears have averaged 28.7 running back carries per game and enter Sunday as home favorites of more than a touchdown.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side of the ball, the Browns are dealing with significant offensive line injuries.<\/p>\n<p>When healthy, it is a unit that has ranked in the bottom half of the league in ESPN\u2019s run block and pass block win rate.<\/p>\n<p>Home favorites on a cold Chicago day provide the Bears an opportunity to try and replicate the rushing success from a couple of weeks ago against the Eagles.<\/p>\n<p>Both running backs have been used in a very similar role over the past couple of weeks, which makes the combined line more attractive.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tony Pollard had his first 100-yard rushing game of the  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29329,"featured_media":117505,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"NFL Rushing Yards Odds: Best Bets & Predictions for Week 5","_seopress_titles_desc":"Get our expert analysis and top picks for the NFL's rushing yards leader in Week 15. 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