{"id":119254,"date":"2025-12-21T07:21:58","date_gmt":"2025-12-21T12:21:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=119254"},"modified":"2026-01-07T11:48:13","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T16:48:13","slug":"nfl-week-16-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-week-16-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Rushing Yards Odds: Best Bets &#038; Predictions for Week 16"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>TreVeyon Henderson <\/strong>averaged 10 yards per carry for the second time this season and led all running backs with 148 rushing yards in Week 15.<\/p>\n<p>Five running backs reached 100 rushing yards in Week 15.<\/p>\n<p>Only one of the five had 20 carries, which is a bit of an outlier from previous weeks.<\/p>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='118107' id='jtrt_table_settings_118107' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Wild Card Round NFL Odds\"],[\"<a href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/betting\\\/nfl-wild-card-round-passing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\\\/\\\">NFL Passing Leader Odds<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/betting\\\/nfl-wild-card-round-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\\\/\\\">NFL Receiving Leader Odds<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/betting\\\/nfl-wild-card-round-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\\\/\\\">NFL Rushing Leader Odds<\\\/a>\"]],[{\"row\":0,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0},{\"row\":1,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":2,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":3,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":3,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}}],[],[]]<\/textarea><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='118107' id='jtrt_table_bps_118107' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_118107' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='118107' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Wild Card Round NFL Odds<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-wild-card-round-passing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/\">NFL Passing Leader Odds<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-wild-card-round-receiving-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/\">NFL Receiving Leader Odds<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-wild-card-round-rushing-yards-odds-predictions-best-bets-longshots-2025\/\">NFL Rushing Leader Odds<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Volume remains a critical component chasing rushing leaders, and volume is often correlated with a favorable game script.<\/p>\n<p>Up to this point, 16 of the top 17 highest rushing totals on the season are from running backs on the winning team.<\/p>\n<p>The one that was on the losing side lost by a single point in the final minute of the game.<\/p>\n<p>In chasing most rushing yards or rushing yards over prop bets, identifying favorites or short dogs is a key component.<\/p>\n<p>There are four games with double-digit favorites this week, which should be the starting point when searching for running backs who could be propelled to early leads and favorable volume for a spike week.<\/p>\n<h3>NFL Weekly Rushing Leaders, 2025:<\/h3>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='111721' id='jtrt_table_settings_111721' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Week\",\"Running Back\",\"Rushing Yards\",\"Opponent\"],[\"1\",\"Derrick Henry\",\"169\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"2\",\"Jonathan Taylor\",\"165\",\"Denver Broncos\"],[\"3\",\"David Montgomery\",\"151\",\"Baltimore Ravens\"],[\"4\",\"Ashton Jeanty\",\"138\",\"Chicago Bears\"],[\"5\",\"Rico Dowdle\",\"206\",\"Miami Dolphins\"],[\"6\",\"Rico Dowdle\",\"183\",\"Dallas Cowboys\"],[\"7\",\"Jahmyr Gibbs\",\"136\",\"Tampa Bay Buccaneers\"],[\"8\",\"James Cook\",\"216\",\"Carolina Panthers\"],[\"9\",\"Kyle Monangai\",\"176\",\"Cincinnati Bengals\"],[\"10\",\"Jonathan Taylor\",\"244\",\"Atlanta Falcons\"],[\"11\",\"De'Von Achane\",\"120\",\"Washington Commanders\"],[\"12\",\"Jahmyr Gibbs\",\"219\",\"New York Giants\"],[\"13\",\"James Cook\",\"144\",\"Pittsburgh Steelers\"],[\"14\",\"Tony Pollard\",\"161\",\"Cleveland Browns\"],[\"15\",\"TreVeyon Henderson\",\"148\",\"Buffalo Bills\"],[\"16\",\"Jaylen Warren\",\"143\",\"Detroit Lions\"],[\"17\",\"Derrick Henry\",\"216\",\"Green Bay Packers\"],[\"18\",\"Ray Davis\",\"151\",\"New York 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data-jtrt-table-id='111721' id='jtrt_table_bps_111721' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_111721' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='111721' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Week<\/th><th>Running Back<\/th><th>Rushing Yards<\/th><th>Opponent<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>Derrick Henry<\/td><td>169<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>Jonathan Taylor<\/td><td>165<\/td><td>Denver Broncos<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>David Montgomery<\/td><td>151<\/td><td>Baltimore Ravens<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>Ashton Jeanty<\/td><td>138<\/td><td>Chicago Bears<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>Rico Dowdle<\/td><td>206<\/td><td>Miami Dolphins<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>Rico Dowdle<\/td><td>183<\/td><td>Dallas Cowboys<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>Jahmyr Gibbs<\/td><td>136<\/td><td>Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>James Cook<\/td><td>216<\/td><td>Carolina Panthers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>Kyle Monangai<\/td><td>176<\/td><td>Cincinnati Bengals<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>Jonathan Taylor<\/td><td>244<\/td><td>Atlanta Falcons<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>De'Von Achane<\/td><td>120<\/td><td>Washington Commanders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>12<\/td><td>Jahmyr Gibbs<\/td><td>219<\/td><td>New York Giants<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>13<\/td><td>James Cook<\/td><td>144<\/td><td>Pittsburgh Steelers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>Tony Pollard<\/td><td>161<\/td><td>Cleveland Browns<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15<\/td><td>TreVeyon Henderson<\/td><td>148<\/td><td>Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>16<\/td><td>Jaylen Warren<\/td><td>143<\/td><td>Detroit Lions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17<\/td><td>Derrick Henry<\/td><td>216<\/td><td>Green Bay Packers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18<\/td><td>Ray Davis<\/td><td>151<\/td><td>New York Jets<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n<h2>Most Week 16 Rushing Yards Prediction (Sunday): Bijan Robinson (+600)<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Jawhar Jordan<\/strong> rushed for 100 yards against the Arizona Cardinals after coming off the bench last week.<\/p>\n<p>The Falcons run the highest rate of outside zone runs, and the Cardinals rank 26th in EPA per rush against outside zone runs.<\/p>\n<p>Robinson has averaged 19.8 carries over the past five weeks, and this matchup provides a solid marriage of volume and efficiency.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are a great team for overs and fantasy football since their games are averaging 127 plays as a result of the Cardinals' high pass volume.<\/p>\n<p>Robinson had a season high 93.1% of the backfield touches last week.<\/p>\n<p>He has had an extra few days of rest and is the current league leader in combined rushing and receiving yards.<\/p>\n<p>With <strong>Tyler<\/strong> <strong>Allgeier<\/strong> hitting free agency in the offseason, there is a possible narrative around the Falcons chasing yards for the running back of the future.<\/p>\n<p>The total in this matchup has ticked up, and this game provides Robinson an opportunity to combine volume and efficiency and a spike week in rushing yardage.<\/p>\n<h2>Week 16 Running Back Longshot Bet: Aaron Jones & Jordan Mason Combined Rushing Yards<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>100+ Rushing Yards (-126)<\/li>\n<li>125+ Rushing Yards (+214)<\/li>\n<li>150 Rushing Yards (+557)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The Minnesota Vikings are 3-point favorites against the New York Giants, who are dreadful at stopping the run this season.<\/p>\n<p>After a solid performance against the Cowboys, <strong>J.J. McCarthy<\/strong> is garnering attention this week, when the answer is likely the Vikings' rushing attack.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are allowing the second-most yards to opposing running backs this season, averaging 123 yards against, and have lost 8 straight games.<\/p>\n<p>Before facing the Cowboys, the Vikings defense averaged 137 passing yards against in their previous five games.<\/p>\n<p>The likelihood of the Vikings jumping ahead and running the ball successfully is high, as the Giants could struggle to move the ball with a rookie quarterback against <strong>Brian<\/strong> <strong>Flores<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The combined rushing with Jones and Mason covers all the bases in terms of guessing which running back gets the carries and has the explosives.<\/p>\n<p>The highest ladder of this combination has value if you believe the Vikings are going to lead this game.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TreVeyon Henderson averaged 10 yards per carry for the second  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29329,"featured_media":108765,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"NFL Rushing Yards Odds: Best Bets & Predictions for Week 16","_seopress_titles_desc":"Get our expert analysis and top picks for the NFL's rushing yards leader in Week 16. We break down the odds, matchups, and sleeper bets for Week 16.","_seopress_robots_index":"","mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,9],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-119254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting","category-props","tag-articles"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls":{"medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-300x200.jpg","thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-150x150.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-768x512.jpg","custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-694x683.jpg","custom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-300x300.jpg","podcast-custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-350x350.jpg","homecustom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-500x500.jpg","viz-thumb":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-255x140.jpg","amp-wp-small":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-100x100.jpg","amp-wp-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-738x430.jpg","amp-wp-normal":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-230x160.jpg","blog-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-669x272.jpg","blog-medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-320x202.jpg","recent-posts":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bijan-Robinson-ADP-2025-700x441.jpg"},"appp_media":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29329"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119254"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119254\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120219,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119254\/revisions\/120219"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108765"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}