{"id":120677,"date":"2026-01-16T16:33:35","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T21:33:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=120677"},"modified":"2026-01-16T16:34:41","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T21:34:41","slug":"nfl-divisional-round-quarterback-fantasy-football-outlook-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/nfl-divisional-round-quarterback-fantasy-football-outlook-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best Divisional Round Quarterbacks: Fantasy Outlook for Every QB"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em>The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Divisional Round. <\/em><em>Find a breakdown of every Divisional Round NFL game in our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/nfl-divisional-round-preview-fantasy-football-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/\">Worksheet Hub<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<h3>Full Game Divisional Round Fantasy Football Previews<\/h3>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='120490' id='jtrt_table_settings_120490' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Matchup\",\"Time\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/bills-broncos-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>Bills @ Broncos<\\\/a>\",\"Saturday -- 4:30 p.m. ET\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/49ers-seahawks-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>49ers @ Seahawks<\\\/a>\",\"Saturday -- 8:00 p.m. ET\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/texans-patriots-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>Texans @ Patriots<\\\/a>\",\"Sunday -- 3:00 p.m. ET\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/rams-bears-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>Rams @ Bears<\\\/a>\",\"Sunday -- 6:30 p.m. ET\"]],[{\"row\":0,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0},{\"row\":0,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":1,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":1,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":2,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":2,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":3,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":3,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":3,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":3,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":4,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":4,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":4,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":4,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1}],[],[]]<\/textarea><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='120490' id='jtrt_table_bps_120490' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_120490' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='120490' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Matchup<\/th><th>Time<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/bills-broncos-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>Bills @ Broncos<\/a><\/td><td>Saturday -- 4:30 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/49ers-seahawks-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>49ers @ Seahawks<\/a><\/td><td>Saturday -- 8:00 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/texans-patriots-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>Texans @ Patriots<\/a><\/td><td>Sunday -- 3:00 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/rams-bears-divisional-round-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>Rams @ Bears<\/a><\/td><td>Sunday -- 6:30 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<!--TOC-->\n<h2>Matthew Stafford<\/h2>\n<p>Stafford threw for 304 yards and 3 touchdowns in the Wild Card Round in Carolina.<\/p>\n<p>Stafford has now thrown multiple touchdown passes in 12 consecutive games, extending the longest streak of his career.<\/p>\n<p>Only five quarterbacks have had a 13-game streak with multiple touchdowns through the air, while the record is 14 games.<\/p>\n<p>Stafford did leave some meat on the bone last week despite the counting stats.<\/p>\n<p>18.6% of his dropbacks lost 1.0 EPA or worse, which was 10th among playoff quarterbacks last week.<\/p>\n<p>He completed 57.1% of his passes, his second-lowest rate of the season.<\/p>\n<p>Stafford has now completed fewer than 60% of his passes in three of his past four games after doing that only twice before Week 15.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, we highlighted how Stafford and this passing game have been given trouble at times by defenses that can create pressure, disguise their coverages post-snap, are led by coaches who were previously with the Rams, and have generally been good at defending passes under center and play action.<\/p>\n<p>The Bears are none of those things.<\/p>\n<p>Chicago just allowed 323 yards and 4 touchdowns to <strong>Jordan<\/strong> <strong>Love<\/strong> on Saturday night.<\/p>\n<p>The Bears are 28th in the league in passing points allowed per attempt (0.480) for fantasy purposes, allowing a 65.5% completion rate (22nd), 7.6 yards per pass attempt (26th), 11.6 yards per completion (27th), and a 6.2% touchdown rate (30th).<\/p>\n<p>One thing we also mentioned going into last week was that we were expecting the Rams to dial back their under-center and play-action rates.<\/p>\n<p>Stafford was under center for 45.8% of his dropbacks, his third-lowest rate of the season.<\/p>\n<p>The Rams used play-action on 16.7% of dropbacks, well below their season rate of 35.4% and the second lowest of the year.<\/p>\n<p>I would anticipate those to flip here.<\/p>\n<p>Against play action passing, the Bears have allowed a 67.9% completion rate (22nd), 9.0 yards per pass attempt (29th), and a 6.4% touchdown rate (23rd).<\/p>\n<p>The Rams did raise their 11 personnel rate last week, as expected (59.7%), while decreasing play-action passing.<\/p>\n<p>They used their heavy 13-personnel sets at a 31.9% rate.<\/p>\n<p>The difference last week was that they did not pass a lot out of 13 (14% of their passing plays) and used it primarily to run (58.6% of their rushing plays).<\/p>\n<p>We have a tiny sample of Chicago facing 13 personnel this season (27 snaps), but on those snaps, they have played nickel at the second-highest rate in the league (33.3%) behind only Seattle.<\/p>\n<p>I do believe the Rams' heavy sets put Chicago in a bind.<\/p>\n<p>They do not have a hybrid-type player like Seattle's <strong>Nick Emmanwori<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>They also just lost <strong>T.J. Edwards<\/strong> last week, their best two-way defender in the run and pass game.<\/p>\n<p>If Chicago matches the Rams' 13 with base defense, they'll see a lot of play-action passing.<\/p>\n<p>If they combat those 13 sets with nickel, the Rams will run.<\/p>\n<p>Stafford has had a lot of success against <strong>Dennis Allen<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>In six career games against his defenses, Stafford has thrown 15 touchdowns to 4 interceptions, completing 63.9% of his passes for 7.9 yards per pass attempt.<\/p>\n<p>He has thrown multiple touchdown passes in all six games.<\/p>\n<p>In his two games against Allen-led defenses with <strong>Sean<\/strong> <strong>McVay<\/strong>, Stafford has thrown for 8.8 yards and 9.6 yards per pass attempt.<\/p>\n<p>One thing circling this game is that the expected forecast is expected to be frigid in Chicago for a night game in January (who knew?).<\/p>\n<p>Stafford passed for 324 yards and 2 touchdowns in a snowstorm in last year\u2019s playoff loss to a much more formidable defense in Philadelphia.<\/p>\n<p>He has not played a game below 20 degrees since 2017 in Green Bay, but he had 323 yards and 3 touchdowns in that game.<\/p>\n\t<div class=\"sf_postarticle_read\">\n\t\t<h3 class=\"title-heading-center\">To continue reading this article<\/h3>\n\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t<p><p>and gain access to The Worksheet as well as all of our postseason betting recommendations, click below to learn more about our Postseason Package.<\/p>\n<\/p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/postseason-betting\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-paywall\" class=\"fusion-button fusion-button-pill button-large button-1 pink-border-button custurl_metabtn\"><span>Learn More<\/span><\/a><\/div>\t\t<div class=\"sflogintext\">\n\t\t\tAlready a Subscriber?<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/login\/?redurl=https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/nfl-divisional-round-quarterback-fantasy-football-outlook-2025\/\">Log In<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"sf_image_divider\">\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/themes\/Avada-child\/img\/red_lines-separate.png\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar,  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":120690,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"Best Divisional Round Quarterbacks: Fantasy Outlook for Every QB","_seopress_titles_desc":"Rich Hribar runs down the best fantasy football quarterbacks for the NFL Divisional Round. Fantasy outlook for every Divisional Round quarterback.","_seopress_robots_index":"","mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-120677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fantasy","tag-articles"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls":{"medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-300x200.jpg","thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-150x150.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-768x512.jpg","custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-694x683.jpg","custom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-300x300.jpg","podcast-custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-350x350.jpg","homecustom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-500x500.jpg","viz-thumb":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-255x140.jpg","amp-wp-small":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-100x100.jpg","amp-wp-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-738x430.jpg","amp-wp-normal":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-230x160.jpg","blog-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-669x272.jpg","blog-medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-320x202.jpg","recent-posts":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Matthew-Stafford-Divisional-Round-2025-1-700x441.jpg"},"appp_media":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120677"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120677\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120696,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120677\/revisions\/120696"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120690"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}