{"id":120774,"date":"2026-01-25T09:00:36","date_gmt":"2026-01-25T14:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=120774"},"modified":"2026-03-03T13:07:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T18:07:37","slug":"nfl-conference-championship-preview-fantasy-football-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/nfl-conference-championship-preview-fantasy-football-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"The Worksheet: Conference Championship Fantasy Football, All You Need To Know"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to the Conference Championship Round of The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/author\/rich\/\">Rich Hribar<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>What is The Worksheet from Rich Hribar?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The Worksheet is a comprehensive weekly fantasy football preview for each NFL game. Rich Hribar analyzes the matchups for every notable fantasy player for every game every week of the NFL season.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Conference Championship Fantasy Football Matchups<\/h2>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='120768' id='jtrt_table_settings_120768' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Matchup\",\"Time\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/patriots-broncos-afc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>Patriots @ Broncos<\\\/a>\",\"Sunday -- 3:00 p.m. ET\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/rams-seahawks-nfc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>Rams @ Seahawks<\\\/a>\",\"Sunday -- 6:30 p.m. ET\"]],[{\"row\":0,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0},{\"row\":0,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":1,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":1,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":2,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":2,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1}],[],[]]<\/textarea><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='120768' id='jtrt_table_bps_120768' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_120768' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='120768' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Matchup<\/th><th>Time<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/patriots-broncos-afc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>Patriots @ Broncos<\/a><\/td><td>Sunday -- 3:00 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/rams-seahawks-nfc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>Rams @ Seahawks<\/a><\/td><td>Sunday -- 6:30 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>For those new to this article, just because\u00a0the fantasy regular season has ended doesn\u2019t mean fantasy football stops.<\/p>\n<p>The fantasy playoffs offer many new opportunities for playoff leagues, props betting, and daily fantasy games.<\/p>\n<p>With the Broncos, Seahawks, Patriots, and Rams all moving on, we are down to the final four teams, and just two Sundays left in the NFL season.<\/p>\n<p>One thing we learned again last week is that in a single-game elimination, you need to protect the football.<\/p>\n<p>There were 20 turnovers last week.<\/p>\n<p>That matched the most in the Divisional Round since 2001.<\/p>\n<p>All four winners last week won the turnover battle by 2 or more.<\/p>\n<p>Playoff teams in the Super Bowl era to win the turnover battle now have an 81.1% winning percentage.<\/p>\n<p>In the Conference Championship Round since 2002, the team that has won the turnover battle is 30-8.<\/p>\n<p>Teams without a turnover and at least 1 takeaway are 15-2.<\/p>\n<p>Home teams have dominated the closing round of the conference playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>Since the NFL expanded to 32 teams in 2002, home teams are 32-14 straight up this round.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past 10 years, those home teams have a robust 15-5 record.<\/p>\n<p>Both road teams have won outright in the same season twice since 2010 (2012 and 2018).<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread over that period, home teams have posted a 26-20 record.<\/p>\n<p>Those opening data points also tie into favorites here, since 40 of the 46 home teams were favored.<\/p>\n<p>Favorites have an equally strong 32-14 record straight up over that span but a tighter 24-22 record against the spread.<\/p>\n<p>This season, we have a rare home underdog in this round due to <strong>Bo Nix<\/strong>&#8216;s injury.<\/p>\n<p>Denver will be just the seventh home underdog in the Conference Championship since the expansion to 32 teams.<\/p>\n<p>The previous six were 3-3 (4-2 ATS), with the last winner being the 2017 Eagles, a team now getting compared to Denver due to the quarterback injury.<\/p>\n<p>Denver was also one of those teams in 2015, when they beat New England 20-18 as 3-point underdogs.<\/p>\n<p>As we touched on last week, however, while road teams and underdogs have not had much success pulling off upset wins, they have kept up based on the implied totals.<\/p>\n<p>There have been only eight times over the 23-year expansion during which both favorites covered.<\/p>\n<p>If you are a fan of seeing points scored, the Conference Championship games have also skewed towards going over the expected total since 2002, posting a 27-17-2 record towards the over during that span.<\/p>\n<p>No. 1 seeds have fared well.<\/p>\n<p>In our sample, the top seeds have a 24-8 outright record in the Championship round and a 19-13 record against the spread.<\/p>\n<p>When the No. 1 seed faces the No. 2 seed, as we have in the AFC, the No. 1 seed has prevailed 14 of 19 times.<\/p>\n<p>It is rare for a No. 5 seed or lower to be playing this late into the postseason, as the Rams are this year.<\/p>\n<p>These lower seeds have had a tough run getting this deep in the NFL postseason and an even tougher ride when they have made it this far.<\/p>\n<p>No. 5 or No. 6 seeds (no 7 seed has yet to make it this far since the NFL added them) are 4-9 in the Championship Round since expansion.<\/p>\n<p>Believe it or not, two of those teams were actually favored, with one winning (the 2010 Packers) and one losing (the 2008 Eagles).<\/p>\n<p>The underdogs went 3-8 (4-7 ATS), but all three winners went on to win the Super Bowl.<\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n<p>This article will be updated throughout the week to reflect major news or injury implications.<\/p>\n<p>I encourage you to use the game-by-game tables and data points here in conjunction with the player rankings that will be available every Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>Enjoy the games!<\/p>\n<p>Click the matchups below for the individual game previews.<\/p>\n<h2>Conference Championship Fantasy Football Matchups<\/h2>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='120768' id='jtrt_table_settings_120768' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Matchup\",\"Time\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/patriots-broncos-afc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>Patriots @ Broncos<\\\/a>\",\"Sunday -- 3:00 p.m. ET\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/rams-seahawks-nfc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\\\/'>Rams @ Seahawks<\\\/a>\",\"Sunday -- 6:30 p.m. ET\"]],[{\"row\":0,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0},{\"row\":0,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":1,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":1,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1},{\"row\":2,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":2,\"col\":1,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":1,\"prop\":1}],[],[]]<\/textarea><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='120768' id='jtrt_table_bps_120768' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_120768' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='120768' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Matchup<\/th><th>Time<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/patriots-broncos-afc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>Patriots @ Broncos<\/a><\/td><td>Sunday -- 3:00 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/rams-seahawks-nfc-championship-fantasy-football-preview-nfl-worksheet-rich-hribar-2025\/'>Rams @ Seahawks<\/a><\/td><td>Sunday -- 6:30 p.m. ET<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to the Conference Championship Round of The Worksheet, a  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":120785,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"The Worksheet: Conference Championship Fantasy Football, All You Need To Know","_seopress_titles_desc":"Everything you need to know for the Conference 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