{"id":121130,"date":"2026-02-02T08:15:52","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T13:15:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=121130"},"modified":"2026-02-05T12:41:57","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T17:41:57","slug":"nfl-super-bowl-60-early-best-bets-picks-predictions-player-prop-over-under-patriots-seahawks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/betting\/nfl-super-bowl-60-early-best-bets-picks-predictions-player-prop-over-under-patriots-seahawks\/","title":{"rendered":"Best Early Over\/Under NFL Player Prop Bets for Super Bowl 60"},"content":{"rendered":"

Super Bowl 60 between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks is just under two weeks away, and now is a great time to look ahead to early props that offer good value or could see the odds move ahead of the big game.<\/p>\n

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n

Super Bowl 60 Prediction: Sam Darnold Under 228.5 Passing Yards (-112)<\/h2>\n

One prop that I think we could see a change to in the line itself is Sam Darnold<\/strong>\u2019s passing yards.<\/p>\n

I think this is just a bit too high at 228.5, and I\u2019d take the under.<\/p>\n

Yes, Darnold was fantastic in the NFC Championship, completing 69.4% of his passes for 346 yards and 3 touchdowns.<\/p>\n

However, the Rams' cornerbacks have been their kryptonite this season, and he\u2019ll have a much more difficult matchup against a secondary led by Christian<\/strong> Gonzalez<\/strong> and a pass rush that has been causing problems all season for their opponents.<\/p>\n

Before the conference title game, Darnold threw for 228 yards or fewer in three straight games.<\/p>\n

Overall, this season, he\u2019s finished under this line eight times.<\/p>\n

As for the Patriots, they\u2019re surrendering 200.7 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, and only five have thrown for 229 yards or more.<\/p>\n

The last time it happened was Week 10 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.<\/p>\n

In fact, only one quarterback since then has crossed the 200 line.<\/p>\n

Yes, I know, the Patriots haven\u2019t played a rockstar lineup of quarterbacks, but they have held players like Lamar<\/strong> Jackson<\/strong>, Josh<\/strong> Allen<\/strong>, Justin<\/strong> Herbert<\/strong>, and C.J. Stroud<\/strong> under that number.<\/p>\n

Also, including the postseason, the Patriots are fourth in pressures with 295.<\/p>\n

During the regular season only, they finished 14th with 226.<\/p>\n

So, during this postseason, they\u2019ve had 69 pressures, which leads all teams.<\/p>\n

When pressured this season \u2014 which has been on 34.9% of his dropbacks \u2014 Darnold has completed 51.5% of his passes for 1,027 yards and averages 6.3 yards per attempt.<\/p>\n

Between now and the Super Bowl, I think this line may drop a bit.<\/p>\n

If not, I\u2019m certainly taking the under here.<\/p>\n

This is a tough secondary with a pass rush that should be able to get after Darnold.<\/p>\n

I also don\u2019t think we see a shootout game as we did in Darnold\u2019s NFC Championship performance.<\/p>\n\t

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Super Bowl 60 Prediction: Drake Maye Under 7.5 Rush Attempts (-136)<\/h2>\n

This is another prop that I wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see drop to 6.5 or so before kickoff.<\/p>\n

Look, I get it.<\/p>\n

Drake<\/strong> Maye<\/strong> ran 10 times last week against the Denver Broncos and 10 times in the Wild Card round against the Los Angeles Chargers, but 8 rush attempts is a lot.<\/p>\n

Remember, last week against Denver, the weather got so bad that passing was borderline impossible.<\/p>\n

Maye completed just 10 of 21 passes (47.6%) for 86 yards.<\/p>\n

Thus, he ran 10 times for 65 yards, a touchdown, and also scrambled to seal the win.<\/p>\n

That said, of those 10 carries, 3 of them were kneel-downs.<\/p>\n

Going back to the Wild Card round, he ran 10 times, but like the conference title game, 3 of them were kneel-downs.<\/p>\n

Across the regular and postseason, Maye is credited with 127 rush attempts, but 29 of them are kneel-downs.<\/p>\n

When you remove the kneel-downs, he\u2019s run 8 times or more in only one game all season.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s say, though, that you think the Patriots will win, and that\u2019ll include three kneel-downs to end the game.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s had five non-kneel-down carries or more in only eight of 20 games.<\/p>\n

To add, let\u2019s look at his carries when he\u2019s pressured.<\/p>\n

The Seahawks are just one of three teams to record more than 300 pressures across the regular and postseason.<\/p>\n

When Maye is pressured, he\u2019s run 36 times.<\/p>\n

Plain and simple: Without the kneel-downs and potentially dealing with pressure, it\u2019s going to be a tall task for the Patriots quarterback to reach 8 carries.<\/p>\n

To top it all off, only two quarterbacks all season have rushed 8 times or more against the Seahawks.<\/p>\n

Super Bowl 60 Prediction: Jake Bobo Under 0.5 Receiving Yards (-155)<\/h2>\n

One prop I\u2019m feeling great about and think offers some great value, even at -155, is for Jake<\/strong> Bobo<\/strong> to finish under 0.5 receiving yards.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s gotten more involved in the past two weeks during this postseason, catching a combined 2 passes on 3 targets for 33 yards and a touchdown in the NFC Championship.<\/p>\n

That said, he\u2019s just barely on the field.<\/p>\n

The Seahawks will be without running back Zach<\/strong> Charbonnet<\/strong> and, seemingly, Tory Horton Jr<\/strong>. in the Super Bowl.<\/p>\n

When they\u2019ve both not been on the field this season, including the postseason, Bobo has a 2.6% target share, catching just 3 of 4 passes for 50 yards and that score last week.<\/p>\n

What makes me feel even better about it is that even without them both on the field, he runs a route on just 14% of his quarterback\u2019s dropbacks.<\/p>\n

Additionally, he\u2019ll be taking on a Patriots defense that\u2019s been stout against wide receivers this season, allowing 116.2 receiving yards to them per game, which is the fourth-fewest in the NFL.<\/p>\n

Bobo isn\u2019t only firmly behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba<\/strong>, Cooper<\/strong> Kupp<\/strong>, and Rashid<\/strong> Shaheed<\/strong> when it comes to wide receivers, but also players like Kenneth<\/strong> Walker III<\/strong>, A.J. Barner<\/strong>, and George<\/strong> Holani<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

At this line, yes, it takes just one catch, but he\u2019s not been a factor whatsoever this season.<\/p>\n

Finally, should Horton somehow become available for the Super Bowl, Bobo will be even more invisible.<\/p>\n

More Super Bowl 60 Prop Bet Coverage:<\/strong><\/p>\n