{"id":121700,"date":"2026-02-06T18:43:10","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T23:43:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=121700"},"modified":"2026-02-06T18:43:10","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T23:43:10","slug":"sam-darnold-red-zone-stats-super-bowl-60","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/sam-darnold-red-zone-stats-super-bowl-60\/","title":{"rendered":"Sam Darnold Red Zone Stats: Super Bowl 60 Key Matchup"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>This is an excerpt from Warren Sharp's Super Bowl 60 Report, a 50+ page analysis of Patriots vs. Seahawks that looks at the big game from every angle. Warren breaks down all the key matchups to give you an edge betting sides, totals, and props. The full report is available to subscribers, and you can get our Super Bowl Package for <strong>50% off using promo code <span style=\"color: #339966;\">SB60<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/superbowl-package\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\"><em>Click here to learn more about our Super Bowl Package!<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Sam Darnold's Passing Splits: Red Zone vs. Outside Red Zone<\/h2>\n<p>Look at <strong>Sam<\/strong> <strong>Darnold<\/strong>\u2019s passing splits.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Outside the red zone:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">#11 in EPA\/attempt (+0.11)<br \/>\n#4 in success rate (51%)<br \/>\n#6 in first down rate (37%)<br \/>\n#9 in completion rate (69%)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Inside the red zone:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">#32 in EPA\/attempt (-0.32)<br \/>\n#32 in success rate (34%)<br \/>\n#30 in first down rate (28%)<br \/>\n#19 in completion rate (58%)<\/p>\n<h3>Red Zone Accuracy Breakdown<\/h3>\n<p>In these high-leverage situations, Darnold\u2019s accuracy goes to hell.<\/p>\n<p>Darnold\u2019s accuracy outside the red zone: #3 of 36 QBs<\/p>\n<p>Darnold\u2019s accuracy inside the red zone: #27 of 36 QBs<\/p>\n<p>Something has to give in this matchup.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots' red zone pass defense has been shockingly terrible against terrible quarterbacks.<\/p>\n<p>Sam Darnold has been a terrible quarterback in the red zone this year.<\/p>\n<p>Whoever steps up in this particular battle will go a long way toward winning the war.<\/p>\n<div class=\"video-shortcode\"><iframe title=\"Sam Darnold\u2019s Third-Down Problem Could Cost Seahawks the Super Bowl\" width=\"1100\" height=\"619\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Y_3Wi8gq7dA?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>This is an excerpt from Warren Sharp's Super Bowl 60 Report. The full 50+ page report is available to subscribers, and you can get our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/superbowl-package\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\">Super Bowl Package<\/a> for <strong>50%\u00a0off using promo code <span style=\"color: #339966;\">SB60<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Plus: You'll get ALL of Warren Sharp's Super Bowl Betting Recommendations:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>1.25+ Unit Plays: <strong>10-0<\/strong> (100%) YTD<\/li>\n<li>Best Bet for the Super Bowl: <strong>16-3<\/strong> (84%) YTD<\/li>\n<li>All Elevated Props: <strong>37-12<\/strong> (76%) YTD<\/li>\n<li>All Sides & Totals: <strong>27-11<\/strong> (71%) lifetime on Super Bowl plays<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A $100 bettor has won <strong>$13,069<\/strong> following Warren's betting recommendations this season. Join for $50 off <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/superbowl-package\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\">HERE<\/a>.<\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n<h2>Seahawks Offensive Game Plan for Super Bowl 60 Success<\/h2>\n<p>When Sam Darnold is being kept on schedule, asked to pass on early downs, and plays with a lead, he\u2019s been outstanding this year.<\/p>\n<p>But when he\u2019s been asked to perform when the moment matters most, he\u2019s struggled.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m talking red zone vs. non-red zone and early down vs. third down.<\/p>\n<p>We addressed the red zone, so now let\u2019s address early downs and third downs.<\/p>\n<h3>Why Early Down Efficiency Is Critical for Seattle<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Early Downs:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">#5 in EPA\/attempt (+0.15)<br \/>\n#4 in success rate (50%)<br \/>\n#1 in Y\/A (9.0)<br \/>\n#5 in completion rate (71%)<br \/>\n#4 in accuracy<br \/>\n#5 in first down rate (35%)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Third Downs:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">#22 in EPA\/attempt (-0.15)<br \/>\n#8 in success rate (42%)<br \/>\n#22 in Y\/A (7.0)<br \/>\n#18 in completion rate (59%)<br \/>\n#18 in accuracy<br \/>\n#12 in first down rate (38%)<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots blew out the 49ers in the Divisional Round, so there wasn\u2019t an opportunity for Darnold to be hyper-stressed in any critical third-down situations.<\/p>\n<p>But he did play outstanding against the Rams on third down in the NFC Championship, going 6 of 9 and converting 60% of dropbacks into first downs while averaging +0.83 EPA per attempt.<\/p>\n<p>It was one of Darnold\u2019s best games of his career, so how much of that is repeatable against a lesser-known opponent like the Patriots rather than the familiar opponent of the Rams?<\/p>\n<p>That remains to be seen.<\/p>\n<h3>Keeping Darnold On Schedule: The Key to Victory<\/h3>\n<p>If the Seahawks are able to play efficient offense on early downs and bypass more third downs, it will immensely help the team by avoiding putting Darnold in those high-leverage, third-down situations.<\/p>\n<p>So, avoiding unproductive plays on early downs is vital, including running <strong>Kenneth<\/strong> <strong>Walker<\/strong> into brick walls for no gain on first downs (if the Patriots can limit the Seahawks run offense).<\/p>\n<p><em>This is an excerpt from Warren Sharp's Super Bowl 60 Report, a 50+ page analysis of Patriots vs. Seahawks that looks at the big game from every angle. Warren breaks down all the key matchups to give you an edge betting sides, totals, and props. The full report is available to subscribers, and you can get our Super Bowl Package for <strong>50% off using promo code <span style=\"color: #339966;\">SB60<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/superbowl-package\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\"><em>Click here to learn more about our Super Bowl Package!<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is an excerpt from Warren Sharp&#8217;s Super Bowl 60  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":121593,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"Sam Darnold Red Zone Stats: Super Bowl 60 Key Matchup","_seopress_titles_desc":"Darnold ranks #32 in red zone EPA but #11 outside it. Analysis of his situational struggles and what it means for Seahawks vs. Patriots in Super Bowl 60.","_seopress_robots_index":"","mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-121700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-articles"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls":{"medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-300x169.jpg","large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-1024x576.jpg","thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-150x150.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-768x432.jpg","custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-694x694.jpg","custom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-300x300.jpg","podcast-custom-size":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-350x350.jpg","homecustom-size-content":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-500x500.jpg","viz-thumb":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-255x140.jpg","amp-wp-small":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-100x100.jpg","amp-wp-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-738x430.jpg","amp-wp-normal":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-230x160.jpg","blog-large":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-669x272.jpg","blog-medium":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-320x202.jpg","recent-posts":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Darnold-SB60-Preview-1-700x441.jpg"},"appp_media":null,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121700"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121700\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":121706,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121700\/revisions\/121706"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/121593"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}