{"id":123835,"date":"2026-04-14T10:41:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T14:41:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=123835"},"modified":"2026-04-14T10:41:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T14:41:01","slug":"2026-nfl-draft-quarterback-rankings-processing-speed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/2026-nfl-draft-quarterback-rankings-processing-speed\/","title":{"rendered":"Sean Payton&#8217;s QB Formula: 2026 NFL Draft Class Ranked by Processing Speed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>How do the best NFL coaches evaluate quarterback play at the college level?<\/p>\n<p>The trouble with some college offenses is that it\u2019s easier to generate tremendous counting stats due to the way the offenses are constructed, through the incorporation of superior spacing and timing.<\/p>\n<p>Average quarterbacks are capable of putting up stats that elite quarterbacks only dreamed of years ago.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, spacing is different in college than in the NFL, and some coaches are relying less on their eyes when studying the tape of college prospects.<\/p>\n<p>As such, it makes evaluating quarterback play much more challenging.<\/p>\n<p>The one trait <strong>Sean<\/strong> <strong>Payton<\/strong> values more than any other is processing speed.<\/p>\n<p>But how do you measure processing speed?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Explore more NFL Draft content:<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='122219' id='jtrt_table_settings_122219' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"2026 NFL Draft Content\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-first-round-all-32-teams-ryan-mccrystal\\\/'>First-Round Mock Draft from Ryan McCrystal<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-first-round-all-32-teams-brendan-donahue'>First-Round Mock Draft from Brendan Donahue<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/nfl-draft-big-board-2026\\\/'>Ryan McCrystal's 2026 NFL Draft Big Board: Top Prospects Ranked<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/nfl-team-draft-needs-predictions-every-team\\\/'>Biggest 2026 Draft Needs & Predictions: All 32 NFL Teams<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/nfl-draft-rumors-2026\\\/'>NFL Draft Rumor Mill 2026: Latest Trade Buzz, Target Leaks, and Draft Intel<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/nfl-draft-capital-value-picks\\\/'>2026 NFL Draft Capital Rankings: All 32 Teams<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/nfl-draft-order-results-tracker-2026\\\/'>NFL Draft Order 2026: Every Team's Pick + Trade Tracker<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/analysis\\\/fifth-year-option-tracker\\\/'>NFL Fifth-Year Option Tracker: 2023 Draft Class Options & Decisions<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/2026-fantasy-rookie-qb-tiers\\\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Quarterback Rankings & Profiles<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/2026-fantasy-rookie-rb-tiers\\\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Running Back Rankings & Profiles<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/2026-fantasy-rookie-wr-tiers\\\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings & Profiles<\\\/a>\"],[\"<a href='https:\\\/\\\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\\\/fantasy\\\/2026-fantasy-rookie-te-tiers\\\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Tight End Rankings & Profiles<\\\/a>\"],[\"Rich Hribar's 2026 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings (Coming Soon)\"],[\"NFL Draft Grades 2026: Grading All 32 Teams After the Draft (Coming Soon)\"],[\"2026 NFL Draft Steals and Reaches: Every Pick Graded Against Pre-Draft Expectations (Coming Soon)\"],[\"Too Early 2027 NFL Mock Draft: First Projections After the 2026 Draft (Coming Soon)\"]],[{\"row\":0,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":0,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0},{\"row\":1,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":1,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":2,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":2,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":3,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":3,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":4,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":5,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":5,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":6,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":6,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":7,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":7,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":8,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":8,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":9,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":9,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":10,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":10,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":11,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":11,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":12,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":12,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":13,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":13,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":4,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":14,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":14,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":15,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":15,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}},{\"row\":16,\"col\":0,\"visualRow\":16,\"visualCol\":0,\"prop\":0,\"jtcellstyle\":{\"font-weight\":\"bold\"}}],[],[]]<\/textarea><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='122219' id='jtrt_table_bps_122219' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_122219' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='122219' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>2026 NFL Draft Content<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-first-round-all-32-teams-ryan-mccrystal\/'>First-Round Mock Draft from Ryan McCrystal<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/2026-nfl-mock-draft-first-round-all-32-teams-brendan-donahue'>First-Round Mock Draft from Brendan Donahue<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/nfl-draft-big-board-2026\/'>Ryan McCrystal's 2026 NFL Draft Big Board: Top Prospects Ranked<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/nfl-team-draft-needs-predictions-every-team\/'>Biggest 2026 Draft Needs & Predictions: All 32 NFL Teams<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/nfl-draft-rumors-2026\/'>NFL Draft Rumor Mill 2026: Latest Trade Buzz, Target Leaks, and Draft Intel<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/nfl-draft-capital-value-picks\/'>2026 NFL Draft Capital Rankings: All 32 Teams<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/nfl-draft-order-results-tracker-2026\/'>NFL Draft Order 2026: Every Team's Pick + Trade Tracker<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/analysis\/fifth-year-option-tracker\/'>NFL Fifth-Year Option Tracker: 2023 Draft Class Options & Decisions<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/2026-fantasy-rookie-qb-tiers\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Quarterback Rankings & Profiles<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/2026-fantasy-rookie-rb-tiers\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Running Back Rankings & Profiles<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/2026-fantasy-rookie-wr-tiers\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings & Profiles<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/2026-fantasy-rookie-te-tiers\/'>Pre-Draft Dynasty Rookie Tight End Rankings & Profiles<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rich Hribar's 2026 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings (Coming Soon)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NFL Draft Grades 2026: Grading All 32 Teams After the Draft (Coming Soon)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2026 NFL Draft Steals and Reaches: Every Pick Graded Against Pre-Draft Expectations (Coming Soon)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Too Early 2027 NFL Mock Draft: First Projections After the 2026 Draft (Coming Soon)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<h3>Pre-Order The Best Analytical 2026 Football Preview<\/h3>\n<p>Don't miss out on Warren Sharp's 500+ page preview of the 2026 NFL season.<\/p>\n<p>The preview is unlike anything you have ever seen, featuring stunning visualizations built with the reader in mind.<\/p>\n<p>This preview shares insights into players, coaches, teams, and philosophies with one goal in mind: to get you prepared for the 2026 NFL season by delivering the smartest information in the fastest, most direct way possible.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview\/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=article-text\">Pre-order the 2026 Football Preview now!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>How Sean Payton Measures Processing Speed<\/h2>\n<p>Payton created a proxy for processing speed by focusing on when quarterbacks make mistakes, such as taking sacks, fumbling the ball, or throwing an interception.<\/p>\n<p>He turned it into a formula.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/45869555\/how-bo-nix-aced-sean-payton-qb-test\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">According to ESPN\u2019s Seth Wickersham:<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>When Payton scouted [Patrick] Mahomes, he sought to develop a formula that would evaluate the most vexing trait for college quarterbacks making the transition to the NFL: processing speed, the ability to react a fraction of a second faster than required in college. He tried to do it not by researching a quarterback's successes but by analyzing his failures. Quarterbacks with high rates of sacks and turnovers either freeze or panic, he felt. &#8220;If a quarterback is sacked quite a bit in college, per drop back, you can improve that some,&#8221; Payton says now. &#8220;But it generally means the processing is a little delayed.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>He didn't take into account offensive line competency, and he was unconcerned with arm strength. [Drew] Brees had a B-level arm. What he did at a Hall of Fame level was multitask &#8211; making adjustments at the line of scrimmage and recognizing problems and solutions &#8211; all in seconds.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Payton used his formula in 2024 when looking to draft a franchise quarterback for the Denver Broncos.<\/p>\n<p>He evaluated <strong>Caleb<\/strong> <strong>Williams<\/strong>, <strong>Drake<\/strong> <strong>Maye<\/strong>, <strong>J.J. McCarthy<\/strong>, and <strong>Bo<\/strong> <strong>Nix<\/strong> with his formula.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Williams: 17.5% failure rate<\/li>\n<li>Maye: 10.5% failure rate<\/li>\n<li>McCarthy: 7.8% failure rate<\/li>\n<li>Nix: 2.3% failure rate<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>It wasn\u2019t close.<\/p>\n<p>Payton drafted Nix, and the rest is history.<\/p>\n<p>This past season, Nix helped lead the Broncos to a 14-3 record as the AFC\u2019s No. 1 seed thanks to an outstanding defense and Nix\u2019s ability to avoid negative plays, which was exactly what Payton was looking for.<\/p>\n<h2>Ranking 2026 NFL Draft Quarterbacks by Processing Speed<\/h2>\n<p>Let\u2019s look at the 2026 quarterback draft class using Payton\u2019s proxy to evaluate quarterback processing speed by examining their failure rate in 2025.<\/p>\n<div class='jtrt_table_MotherShipContainer'><div class='jtTableContainer jtrespo-scroll  ' ><div class='jtsettingcontainer' style='display:none;position:absolute;left:-9999px;'><textarea data-jtrt-table-id='123839' id='jtrt_table_settings_123839' cols='30' rows='10'>[[[\"Rank\",\"Failure Rate\",\"2026 QB Prospect\",\"College\"],[\"1\",\"4.1%\",\"Joe Fagnano\",\"Connecticut\"],[\"2\",\"5.3%\",\"Haynes King\",\"Georgia Tech\"],[\"3\",\"6.3%\",\"Drew Allar\",\"Penn State\"],[\"4\",\"6.6%\",\"Cade Klubnik\",\"Clemson\"],[\"5\",\"6.9%\",\"Carson Beck\",\"Miami (FL)\"],[\"6\",\"7.1%\",\"Sawyer Robertson\",\"Baylor\"],[\"7\",\"7.3%\",\"Garrett Nussmeier\",\"LSU\"],[\"8\",\"8.7%\",\"Diego Pavia\",\"Vanderbilt\"],[\"9\",\"8.9%\",\"Ty Simpson\",\"Alabama\"],[\"10\",\"9.0%\",\"Fernando Mendoza\",\"Indiana\"],[\"11\",\"9.3%\",\"Behren Morton\",\"Texas Tech\"],[\"12\",\"9.4%\",\"Joey Aguilar\",\"Tennessee\"],[\"13\",\"10.3%\",\"Jalon Daniels\",\"Kansas\"],[\"14\",\"10.7%\",\"Mark Gronowski\",\"Iowa\"],[\"15\",\"11.5%\",\"Luke Altmyer\",\"Illinois\"],[\"16\",\"12.5%\",\"Cole Payton\",\"North Dakota State\"],[\"17\",\"12.9%\",\"Taylen Green\",\"Arkansas\"],[\"18\",\"13.3%\",\"Athan 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data-jtrt-table-id='123839' id='jtrt_table_bps_123839' cols='30' rows='10'>[]<\/textarea><\/div><table id='jtrt_table_123839' data-sorting='false' data-paging='false' data-paging-size='10' data-paging-menu='10,20,50,100' data-filtering='false' data-jtrt-table-id='123839' class='jtrt-table  ' ><thead><tr><th>Rank<\/th><th>Failure Rate<\/th><th>2026 QB Prospect<\/th><th>College<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>1<\/td><td>4.1%<\/td><td>Joe Fagnano<\/td><td>Connecticut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>5.3%<\/td><td>Haynes King<\/td><td>Georgia Tech<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3<\/td><td>6.3%<\/td><td>Drew Allar<\/td><td>Penn State<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>4<\/td><td>6.6%<\/td><td>Cade Klubnik<\/td><td>Clemson<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>5<\/td><td>6.9%<\/td><td>Carson Beck<\/td><td>Miami (FL)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6<\/td><td>7.1%<\/td><td>Sawyer Robertson<\/td><td>Baylor<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>7<\/td><td>7.3%<\/td><td>Garrett Nussmeier<\/td><td>LSU<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>8.7%<\/td><td>Diego Pavia<\/td><td>Vanderbilt<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>8.9%<\/td><td>Ty Simpson<\/td><td>Alabama<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10<\/td><td>9.0%<\/td><td>Fernando Mendoza<\/td><td>Indiana<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11<\/td><td>9.3%<\/td><td>Behren Morton<\/td><td>Texas Tech<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>12<\/td><td>9.4%<\/td><td>Joey Aguilar<\/td><td>Tennessee<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>13<\/td><td>10.3%<\/td><td>Jalon Daniels<\/td><td>Kansas<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>14<\/td><td>10.7%<\/td><td>Mark Gronowski<\/td><td>Iowa<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15<\/td><td>11.5%<\/td><td>Luke Altmyer<\/td><td>Illinois<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>16<\/td><td>12.5%<\/td><td>Cole Payton<\/td><td>North Dakota State<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>17<\/td><td>12.9%<\/td><td>Taylen Green<\/td><td>Arkansas<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18<\/td><td>13.3%<\/td><td>Athan Kaliakmanis<\/td><td>Rutgers<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>It is worth noting that <strong>Fernando Mendoza<\/strong>, who is widely expected to be the No. 1 overall pick, ranks just 10th in this exercise.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/fernando-mendoza-fantasy-outlook-2026-nfl-draft\/\"><em><strong>You can read more about him in Rich Hribar's pre-draft fantasy profile.<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That is one spot behind <strong>Ty Simpson<\/strong>, who is the only other quarterback getting first-round buzz.<\/p>\n<p>Once considered a potential No. 1 overall pick, Penn State's <strong>Drew<\/strong> <strong>Allar<\/strong> is likely to go on Day 2 following a disastrous final season in college, but he comes in third in this metric.<\/p>\n\t<div class='sfa-image-adds' style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\n\t\t<a href='https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/newsletter\/'>\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Sharp-Football-Analysis-Newsletter-Ad.jpg\" class=\"attachment-size-full size-size-full\" alt=\"Sharp Football Analysis Newsletter\" \/>\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How do the best NFL coaches evaluate quarterback play at  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":97340,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"Sean Payton's QB Formula: 2026 NFL Draft Class Ranked by Processing Speed","_seopress_titles_desc":"Sean Payton built a formula to measure QB processing speed using sack and turnover rates. Applied to the full 2026 NFL Draft QB class, see who scores 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