{"id":20165,"date":"2020-06-02T10:40:47","date_gmt":"2020-06-02T14:40:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/?p=20165"},"modified":"2020-06-19T14:36:59","modified_gmt":"2020-06-19T18:36:59","slug":"dynasty-buy-sell-or-hold-odell-beckham","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sharpfootballanalysis.com\/fantasy\/dynasty-buy-sell-or-hold-odell-beckham\/","title":{"rendered":"Dynasty Buy, Sell, Or Hold: Odell Beckham"},"content":{"rendered":"

Now that free agency the NFL Draft and the schedule release have all passed, we have our initial layout in place in team depth charts and strength of schedule. With that, we want to take a look at some players across the fantasy landscape that are either polarizing, over or undervalued, or just interesting topics of discussion and walk through some pros and cons of where those players are regarded in fantasy circles.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

So far we have explored players such as <\/span>Kenyan Drake<\/b><\/a>, <\/b>Austin Ekeler<\/b><\/a>, <\/span>Marquise Brown<\/b><\/a>, <\/span>Tyler Higbee<\/b><\/a>, <\/span>Mecole Hardman<\/b><\/a>,<\/b> Nick Chubb<\/b><\/a>, <\/b>the trio of<\/span> DeVante Parker, Preston Williams <\/b>and <\/span>Mike Gesicki<\/b><\/a> and<\/span> D.J. Chark.<\/b><\/a> For this installment, we are digging into the subpar 2019 season from <\/span>Odell Beckham<\/b>.<\/span><\/p>\n

For more fantasy content, check out our offseason fantasy football hub with rankings, strategy, and more.<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/p>\n

Week 1 Age<\/b>: 27.8<\/span>
\n<\/span>Contract<\/b>: Signed through 2023 (potential out year starting after 2020)<\/span><\/p>\n

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Using the Dynasty ADP app available at <\/span>RotoViz<\/span><\/a>,\u00a0 we\u2019re starting to see the slow trickle down of Beckham\u2019s price point as he enters his late twenties. He is still being handled as a top-30 option overall, but is now near the lower-end WR1 grouping of wideouts after a five-year run as a top-five option among wideouts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Beckham\u2019s 2019 season was filled with a plethora of things that went wrong. Through his own play, dealing with injuries, subpar quarterback play, chemistry with that quarterback through changing teams, and a daunting schedule layout, Beckham turned in what was his worst season to date. Beckham closed 2019 at WR25 overall in scoring and WR34 in points per game (12.6) while having career-lows in targets per game (8.3) and yards per target (7.8). He was credited with a career-high 11 dropped passes.<\/span><\/p>\n

A big component of Beckham\u2019s struggles in his first year in Cleveland was developing any tangible rapport with second-year quarterback <\/span>Baker Mayfield<\/b>. Per Pro Football Focus, just 62.3% of Beckham\u2019s targets in 2019 were deemed catchable, which ranked 76th out of 86 qualifying wide receivers. <\/span>Using the completion percentage per target depth tool at Sharp Football Stats<\/span><\/a>, here is the passing chart for Mayfield in 2019 when targeting Beckham.<\/span><\/p>\n

2019 Completion Percentage by Target Depth for Baker Mayfield targeting Odell Beckham<\/b><\/p>\n

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Wide receivers changing teams have been a mixed bag for fantasy. <\/span>Over the past 10 years, we have had 34 different wide receivers with ADP among the top-36 wideouts that offseason that were on new teams that season. Of that group, just 12 scored more PPR fantasy points per game than the year prior for their new clubs with just 10 of those receivers finishing the season higher than their respective ADP was among the position heading into the season. The sample is small for elite wideouts changing teams such as Beckham, with just six of those players having top-12 ADP. But five of those six had a scoring drop in their first season with their new team and only one (<\/span>Brandon Marshall<\/b> in 2012) finished that season as fantasy WR1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Wide Receivers With Top-24 ADP Changing Teams Over the Past 10 Years<\/b><\/p>\n